Play 3N

[Phil]

You reach a quick 3N on:

 

[hv=d=s&v=b&n=skj2hkt2dacqt9642&s=sa63hj53dkt932ca5]133|200|Scoring: IMP

1C - 1D - 2C - 3N

 

Lead: 9S: 0/2 higher[/hv]

 

Your plan?

[wclass___]

How is this in interesting bridge hands?

 

It is clear to me that if you play ♠J at trick one you are increasing your chances to make (comparing to playing low) if LHO has QT9+, but decreasing if RHO has QT+.

 

Further assessments have purely theoretical importance.

 

Anyway, some thoughts.

 

1)If LHO has QT9+

 

1.1) If you establish ♣ for 5 tricks - i think it doesn't matter what you play. You are cold in both cases.

1.2) If you don't establish ♣ for 5 tricks

1.2.1) If RHO has KJx+

1.2.1.1) You played low

1.2.1.1.1)If LHO has QT9x and a ♥ trick, opps can keep playing ♠ to get 2♣+2♥+1♠. (If RHO has either A or Q he can count tricks and if declarer has A or Q he can get entry for finesse anyway. If he has nothing in ♥, he will probably start with ♦ and then after winning ♣K switch to ♠ hoping pard has AQ?!)

1.2.1.1.2.) If LHO has QT9xx, then ...??

1.2.1.2) You played J

1.2.1.2.1) If LHO has QT9x. Now you have an entry and as you lose 4th trick to ♣J , win ♠ return in dummy, play another ♣, and win in hand ♠ return. Now you have a ♥ guess. Although i am not sure, maybe then can get you down by trying to get extra ♥ tricks.

 

 

Sorry, i got bored.. it would take a lot of time to finish.

[bid_em_up]

Somehow, I don't think the play problem really involves the spade suit on this hand (other than possibly entry considerations).