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4 years ago playin' 3N


H_KARLUK

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[hv=n=sk1098haq52d8ca1092&s=sa3hk43daj9762c83]133|200|[/hv]

 

2 lead.

 

If dummy's 8 wins I can work on diamonds. If I have to win in hand I'll work on clubs.

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No one would believe the chances in diamonds are good enough to justify playing the K at trick 1 so that's not the trap. Therefore I would do something like Hanoi5: assuming

T1: 8,J,A

finesse spade at trick 2 & if it wins the best shot I see is

T3: try a low club, succeeding if the hearts break or something good happens in clubs, or if LHO gets endplayed for another spade trick.

 

Not so tempted to play diamonds at trick 3 because that might force you to cash A when in with the K, at a time when clubs are still to be developed. But I don't see that as qualifying as a trap.

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No one would believe the chances in diamonds are good enough to justify playing the K at trick 1 so that's not the trap. Therefore I would do something like Hanoi5: assuming

T1: 8,J,A

finesse spade at trick 2 & if it wins the best shot I see is

T3: try a low club, succeeding if the hearts break or something good happens in clubs, or if LHO gets endplayed for another spade trick.

 

Not so tempted to play diamonds at trick 3 because that might force you to cash A when in with the K, at a time when clubs are still to be developed. But I don't see that as qualifying as a trap.

The trap to avoid on this hand is to not win the A in your hand, but rather, win the K on the dummy and play a diamond to the 9 (if RHO plays low, otherwise, play the J on the 10 and the Ace on an honour. Assuming RHO plays low, LHO will win and lead something back, if it is a spade, and the 10 does not get covered, you are still safe if spades are 4-3, as they appear to be from the OL. Continue with your diamonds by leading the A, and if they were 3-3, or there was honour ten doubleton on your right, you are at home.

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No one would believe the chances in diamonds are good enough to justify playing the K at trick 1 so that's not the trap. Therefore I would [develop 8th trick in spades & hope for the 9th in or ].

The trap to avoid on this hand is to not win the A in your hand, but rather, win the K on the dummy and play a diamond to the 9 ... if they were 3-3, or there was honour ten doubleton on your right, you are at home.

or dry honor(s) onside.

 

Diamond 3-3 are equally likely as hearts 3-3.

 

The extra chances in diamonds compare with the extra chances from clubs or endplaying LHO for a 4th trick. My feeling was that the club chances are better than the extra diamond chances, and the spade is a bonus. That's why I said the K play seems improbable. I admit I did not calculate.

 

Edit: We overlooked some additional winning cases for that may be important -- two honors dry with LHO. Depending on the bidding that could bring the chances up to 49%. However I still think the 8 play is clear. (1) it might win, (2) the extra club trick is around 20% (we'll have to start them with low from the dummy; RHO may not make the best play).

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The trap to avoid on this hand is to not win the A in your hand, but rather, win the K on the dummy and play a diamond to the 9 (if RHO plays low, otherwise, play the J on the 10 and the Ace on an honour. Assuming RHO plays low, LHO will win and lead something back, if it is a spade, and the 10 does not get covered, you are still safe if spades are 4-3, as they appear to be from the OL. Continue with your diamonds by leading the A, and if they were 3-3, or there was honour ten doubleton on your right, you are at home.

Congratulations on your very much improved English H_Karluk, really well done. B)

 

Incidentally, in the USA the usual spelling of the word 'honour' is 'honor', but perhaps your teacher is British. And are you sure you meant to say 'at home', I think if you go back and check you will find you meant to say just 'home'.

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The trap to avoid on this hand is to not win the A in your hand, but rather, win the K on the dummy and play a diamond to the 9

Shouldn't you play a diamond to the jack? That gains against 10x offside, and, so far as I can see, never loses.

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