gwnn Posted May 10, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 10, 2010 I'll take that bet assuming you mean final winner, not just tomorrow. :P If you want to say just tomorrow I need some odds, say 2:1 (you win +5/-10/0 in case of Topalov/Anand/draw). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
y66 Posted May 10, 2010 Report Share Posted May 10, 2010 Final winner, not just tomorrow. Anand is favored, I think, but betting with no odds is fine for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 10, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 10, 2010 Fair enough, but probably simplest to make it 10 BB$. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jlall Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Final winner, not just tomorrow. Anand is favored, I think, but betting with no odds is fine for me. Are you sure Anand is favored? Topalov gets white in the last game which is a big edge. Of course in the tie breaker Anand is going to be the favorite because he is a beast with fast time controls, so it's still possible Anand is the fav but it doesn't seem that clear. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 I'd be under the impression that Topalov has a small edge overall but I'm fine with losing a little expected value like this. I hope they will broadcast the tiebreaking matches, they should be cracking awesome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Bwin.com odds for tomorrow: 3.2-1.5-7.5 If we accept these as accurate probabilities (after normalisation), we could say that Anand has14.8%+74.16%*xchances, which means that he needs 67.4% chances in the tiebreaker to break even. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Well this looks like a very boring game! I think Anand until now was trying not to lose with black but now he specifically is playing for a draw. (Don't assume there is some deep and subtle meaning to this post, most likely there is none) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rossoneri Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Looks like a draw... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 I think finally black has a better position than white, for the first time in this whole match. Hardly likely that anyone will win this though. We are lucky to have seen 4 decisive games anyway, remember Kramnik vs Kasparov? yuck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rossoneri Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Looks like a draw... Looks like I spoke too soon, the position has been blown open after 29...e5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
y66 Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Not looking good for the Topster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 WOO HOO $$$$$$$$------------>gwnn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
y66 Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 requesting $$$ transfer ... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PassedOut Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Pretty exciting game now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 ugh kh4? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
y66 Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 That was fun gwnn. I don't know when the next championship is. See you then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 http://snp.bpb.de/referate/mk4.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mohitz Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Haha.. Susan Polgar has this to say "This is perhaps one of the biggest blunders in the final game of a world championship match. I am still stunned that Topalov did not sense any danger whatsoever by opening up the h1 - a8 diagonal." Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Kg7? :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rossoneri Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 What a match lol, now it's looking the other way! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PassedOut Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Kg7? :) Wow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hanoi5 Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Nf5+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 Shipov says now they will go into a 3 vs 3 pawn ending with Anand winning. oh they're moving so fast now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hanoi5 Posted May 11, 2010 Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 I root for Toppy now. I think he can get that bishop in the corner and black is kinda trapped in its own web... But now Anand is back...I think white couldve taken that bishop to some profit... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted May 11, 2010 Author Report Share Posted May 11, 2010 it's queen vs rook and knight i think it's a win for anand? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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