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Declar play problem from today bbo


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[hv=d=w&v=e&n=skha986dt65cakqj2&s=sjt76hkjt7da93ct7]133|200|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

It goes:

 

Pass 1 (polish) - Pass - 1

dbl 4 passes....

 

Lead: 4 (2/4).

 

What's the plan ?

I chose the one which was intuitive after 5seconds of thought but I think it's not the best one. I will post it later.

 

EDIT:

 

First tricks goes: 5, Q, it's up to us

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Fine, I'll bite... Seems clear to take the A, and cash AK. If trumps are 3/2, start running clubs and pitching diamonds, hoping to lose only one and one , but content to also lose one if clubs are 4-2 the wrong way. If trumps were 4-1, I'm stuck hoping clubs are 3-3.
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my feeling is that it is likely that trumps are 4-1. I duck the first diamond, and see the continuation, though, just to be sure what's going on. I then lead the J of hearts to the K, and the 9 of hearts back, letting it ride. I plan on taking 4 hearts, 5 clubs, and the A of diamonds.
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Since 1 is Polish the DBL probably does not show a - two-suiter but a normal take-out double of .

Accordingly win the immediately (there is little to be gained by ducking the first trick), play only the King of and unless the queen of drops, play next on , which always wins if West has 3 or 4 cards in or 2 cards in and either a singleton or Qx in

The danger of drawing 2 rounds of trumps first is that you have no quick reentry to dummy, should East have 4 cards in and 2 cards in .

East would ruff the third low.

This is much more likely than West having a small doubleton in and where two rounds of trumps first would win.

 

 

Rainer Herrmann

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Accordingly play only the King of ♥ and unless the queen of ♥ drops, play next on ♣, which always wins if West has 3 or 4 cards in ♣

or 2 cards in ♣ and either a singleton or Qx in ♥

The danger of drawing 2 rounds of trumps first is that you have no quick reentry to dummy, should East have 4 cards in ♥ and 2 cards in ♣.

East would ruff the third ♣ low.

This is much more likely than West having a small doubleton in ♣ and ♥ where two rounds of trumps first would win.

 

Wow, this sounds great. We were considering only finesse vs playing two top hearts. Your line seems to be big improvement over those, thanks !

 

Fine, I'll bite... Seems clear to take the A♦, and cash AK♥. If trumps are 3/2, start running clubs and pitching diamonds, hoping to lose only one ♠ and one ♥, but content to also lose one ♦ if clubs are 4-2 the wrong way. If trumps were 4-1, I'm stuck hoping clubs are 3-3.

 

This is how I played but unfortunately as you don't have reentry to dummy you will lose even if clubs are 3-3

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