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All white at IMPs.  opps silent

 

AJ10954 K75 765 6

 

1-1

2-?

I think you need to bypass the support for the moment to make what may be your only shot at a game with 2 hopefully this will encourage partner to try 3 with appropriate hands. This is much clearer if you open 1D with xy45 or xy54

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2 is fine. It would not occur to me to bid 3 on these cards.

 

If partner cannot act over 2, it is highly unlikely that you will have missed a makable game. Whether you will be in the best spot is another matter entirely, but it should be playable.

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2 is fine. It would not occur to me to bid 3 on these cards.

 

If partner cannot act over 2, it is highly unlikely that you will have missed a makable game. Whether you will be in the best spot is another matter entirely, but it should be playable.

Very close between 2 and 3. Wouldnt partner pass 2 for example with Qx Ax AQxxx xxxx ?

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I remember a hand where Helgemo has bid 2 with :

 

AQTxxxx

xx

Qx

xx

 

It went:

 

1 - 1

2 - 2

 

I was surprised at the time but now it seems good/standard to me.

With OP hand 3 wouldn't be an option for me. 100% 2.

Its possible that they play weak jump responses. Then 1-2 and 1-

1; 2-2 would show the same hand type with the latter being the stronger variant.

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If we are 6331 and partner has 5+D and 4+C, then:

 

If he is xy54, then his probabilities of having (0, 1, 2, 3) spades are (8.9%, 35.8%, 40.3%, 14.9%).

 

If he is xy55, then his probabilities of having (0, 1, 2, 3) spades are (17.6%, 46.3%, 30.9%, 5.1%).

 

If he is xy65 then his probabilities of having (0, 1, 2) spades are (33.1%, 51.5%, 15.4%).

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If we are 6331 and partner has 5+D and 4+C, then:

 

If he is xy54, then his probabilities of having (0, 1, 2, 3) spades are (8.9%, 35.8%, 40.3%, 14.9%).

 

If he is xy55, then his probabilities of having (0, 1, 2, 3) spades are (17.6%, 46.3%, 30.9%, 5.1%).

 

If he is xy65 then his probabilities of having (0, 1, 2) spades are (33.1%, 51.5%, 15.4%).

If partner is specifically 3-1-5-4 he might bid 2 over 1. And, depending on the strength of his club suit, it is conceivable that he might bid 2 over 1 on 3-0-5-5.

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