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Lead against 7S


Poky

The right lead is...  

16 members have voted

  1. 1. The right lead is...

    • Spade
      2
    • hA
      8
    • dA
      5
    • Club
      1


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I am leading a spade. I don't believe that there is any reason to believe that any red trick is going away if it is not cashed at trick one. Yes, they have a massive club fit and a massive spade fit. But that does not add up to 13 tricks. Leading the wrong red ace, however, is likely to give up the 13th trick (possibly the 12th and 13th tricks).

 

Many years ago in the LM pairs the opponents bid up to 7 in an uncontested auction, and I held the Qx of spades. My partner led one from 3 small. I gave my partner's hand to a friend who was not playing in the LMs and asked him for a lead on the opponents' auction. He led a spade.

 

On this hand the issue is not pickling partner's possible trump trick. It is whether you try to guess which red ace to cash at trick one or go passive and assume that whichever one is cashing is not going away. I choose to go passive.

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I lead a diamond. RHO probably isn't void in two suits, so if the diamond void is real he wouldn't bid the grand. The fact that he did anyway means he has a heart void and not a diamond void.

QFE. these secret heart leaders are absurdly naive.

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