ajm218 Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 Anyone care to speculate on the probability of major suit being lead on a random board? (Or have access to a load of results with opening lead included?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jlall Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 Against 3N maybe 80 %? Against suit contracts I would guess less than 50 %, because usually people are declaring a major, and usually a trump is not led. Against 1N maybe 70 % Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajm218 Posted February 18, 2010 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 So any idea what the overall prob comes out to be? B) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 no clue B) partner is more likely to overcall a mayor, that's all I can think of O_o Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hanp Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 58%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jlall Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 This seems like a question that is best answered by some large database like bridgebrowser Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hanp Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 Or perhaps it is a question that is best not answered? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewj Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 Yeh, who cares :)? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajm218 Posted February 18, 2010 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 I was just wondering what people's intuitions were or if anyone had access to a load of results and could quickly give us a sample prob... For people who aren't interested - there are millions of other threads out there, most of which really are very interesting indeed... for you... :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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