dicklont Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 [hv=v=n&s=s964h862dkj10ca632]133|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]Partner opens 1♣ and RHO bids 4♥.Your lead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
655321 Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 ♦J Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Siegmund Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 I'm going with the passive heart. Our side isn't getting any ruffs anyway. Let him quietly go down one or two leading stuff out of his hand rather than me taking a finesse for him. I am fully prepared to be very wrong - there are hands where the attacking D or S lead is needed, but I'm speculating they are outnumbered by the hands where 4♥ dies of natural causes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogerclee Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 There are 10 other cards i'd rather lead than a heart. (I'd also lead the ♦J, though the ♣A could be better.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdonn Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 Sold on jack of diamonds. Agree with heart being last choice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 ♠, although ♦J may just be fine too. ♥ is realy realy realy awful! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 I would lead a club. Haven't been able to work out why I shouldn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 enlighten me, why is a heart so awful? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hanoi5 Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 ♠6. My name is MUD. Mumumumu, mud. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcphee Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 I have good D so I lead one, the J which for me covers choices 1 through 12. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hrothgar Posted February 18, 2010 Report Share Posted February 18, 2010 enlighten me, why is a heart so awful? I would say that the risk of giving RHO a free finesse far outweighs the gains from killing a (potential) ruff in dummy. I would probably lead a Spade. Don't mind the Jack of Diamonds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy_h Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 A diamond and I hate everything else. I also agree with a heart being the last choice. Being on lead is a powerful weapon for the defence and you should take every advantage from it as it gives you tempo. A trump lead after this auction just gives that up and you don't let declarer exhaust any entries in dummy if he wants to take a hook. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lmilne Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 A diamond and I hate everything else. I also agree with a heart being the last choice. Being on lead is a powerful weapon for the defence and you should take every advantage from it as it gives you tempo. A trump lead after this auction just gives that up and you don't let declarer exhaust any entries in dummy if he wants to take a hook. Agree, jack of diamonds as best attacking choice. Heart seems way too passive. Don't like spade for similar reasons. Don't like clubs because of the ace. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdanno Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 enlighten me, why is a heart so awful? Against preempts, tempo is crucial! Tempo is crucial when declarer can pitch losers in one of his short suit on dummy's winners in his other short suit. When he preempts, he often has 2 fairly short suits! In fact some like to lead aces against preempts for that reason. This is much more of a concern than giving him a free heart finesse IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rogerclee Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 never mind Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pooltuna Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 Sold on jack of diamonds. Agree with heart being last choice. But if you don't lead a ♥ how are you going to finesse partner's Kx♥ when dummy has no entry? :) I also have a preference for ♦J Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dicklont Posted February 19, 2010 Author Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 [hv=d=n&n=skqjxhkxdqxcjxxxx&w=stxxhxda98xxckqtx&e=saxxhaqjtxxxdxxxc&s=sxxxhxxxdkjtcaxxx]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv] Both tables lead ♣A.At the other table it was less of a disaster, they played in 3♥. Unlucky? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pooltuna Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 [hv=d=n&n=skqjxhkxdqxcjxxxx&w=stxxhxda98xxckqtx&e=saxxhaqjtxxxdxxxc&s=sxxxhxxxdkjtcaxxx]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv] Both tables lead ♣A.At the other table it was less of a disaster, they played in 3♥. Unlucky? the J♦ is just a better choice IMO in this auction as the A♣ requires partner to hold the ♣K while the ♦ rates to work if partner has either the A or the Q Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Free Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 Unlucky? No way, this is what you ask for when leading Aces in partner's suit when RHO preempted... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted February 19, 2010 Report Share Posted February 19, 2010 Still club Ace for me. Well done to the successful diamond leaders. Declarer had a club void, dummy had KQ, partner had diamond Q. Are there any other possible layouts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy_h Posted February 20, 2010 Report Share Posted February 20, 2010 Still club Ace for me. Well done to the successful diamond leaders. Declarer had a club void, dummy had KQ, partner had diamond Q. Are there any other possible layouts? Sure there are. - Declarer having a singleton club (dummy doesn't need the ♣Q) so he now has an entry for a pitch.- Dummy has ♦AQ ♣QJx(x) and declarer has 0-1♣ and will have sufficient entries for a ruffing finesse and also get back to dummy for a pitch. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted February 20, 2010 Report Share Posted February 20, 2010 I think the point is not that nearly 60% of the time partner has one or diamond honours. The point is that nearly 40% of the relevant times a diamond lead gives the contract at trick one. On this auction and at this vulnerability I expect declarer to have an 'optimistic' eight plus tricks (eg AK to seven and A(Q) outside. That's why people play Ace of clubs to look at dummy and see a signal, and I would rather play a spade or a heart than a diamond if I wasn't allowed to play Ace of clubs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSGibson Posted February 21, 2010 Report Share Posted February 21, 2010 I think the point is not that nearly 60% of the time partner has one or diamond honours. The point is that nearly 40% of the relevant times a diamond lead gives the contract at trick one. I think that 99% of the time you use percentages, you are making stuff up. Like this time, for example. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted February 21, 2010 Report Share Posted February 21, 2010 Odds on finding partner with a diamond honour was given as a reason to lead one. I am puzzled that thoughts about different leads need to be described as 'making things up'. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whereagles Posted February 21, 2010 Report Share Posted February 21, 2010 I think the only lead that's clearly bad is small club. Anything else is plausible. I'll probably go passive with a heart because pard is short in hearts and thus rates to have some spades to prevent declarer from setting up that suit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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