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How much rope do you give partner?


Stephen Tu

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My inclination is to raise here, with an eye to the vulnerability. If the colors were different, partner could bid 5 on a wide range of hands hoping for a successful sacrifice when we have a minimum double, in which case our actual hand may be just enough for partner to make. But at red/white, partner should expect to have play for the contract opposite the right minimum double. This strongly suggests a heart singleton and at least one if not two useful cards. Something like Kxx x Kxxxxx Qxx is certainly possible, and partner could even have a seven-card diamond suit that wasn't good enough to open at the three level (especially if we don't play weak 2).
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[hv=d=w&v=n&s=sqxxhaxdaqxcakt8x]133|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

(p)-p-(1)-dbl;

(4)-5-(p)-??

Pass.

 

The opening bidder is on lead. They almost certainly have the A-K (since if we are giving partner the K and some 'other' card, there is nothing left for them to hold.

 

If the Q were the K I would venture 6, but why risk an almost sure penalty looking for perfect cards?

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FWIW, on the actual hand:

 

If you pass, you probably get a boring push with 3nt at the other table.

 

If you raise, you reach a slam which on the normal heart lead basically is on the club Q hook through the opening bidder, certainly not the worst slam I've ever reached. The club hook fails though.

 

BUT:::

- it turns out opening bidder has chosen to psych 1 on their 5=3=3=2 4 HCP.

- this causes basically everyone else at the table to overbid counting on the missing 2 hearts he supposedly has (your partner looking at 3 small hearts stretched a bit more than usual, thinking you might not dbl again on some min heart-void/stiff hands where 5 can make).

- it also causes LHO, with 10 hcp, to double 6d. This induces a change in lead, and a subsequent misdefense. When the smoke clears you are +1540 B)

 

Maybe isn't a valid data point, but does remind one to factor in the possibility of 3rd hand favorable vul opp not really having anything.

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I'm not sure what's going on, and even knowing what happens, I'm fairly certain 6 (at least) is the winning action.

 

Partner's pass...5 sequence screams a missing spade card, and you need little more.

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