kayin801 Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 [hv=d=w&v=n&n=sk4hakq87dj9ck972&s=saj653hj2daq87ca4]133|200|Scoring: IMPContract: 6NTLead: ♥5[/hv] How are you best combining your chances? As declarer you've shown 5 spades, 4-5 diamonds, and 3 aces in the bidding. I've put the full hand here (above hand was rotated): http://tinyurl.com/ylq8uk7 I thought declarer did a nice job bringing about pressure on the defense even if the contract could have been beaten, but I'm wondering how everyone could have done better. (ignore the bidding :)) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hanp Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 Just on instinct I think it is better to win the heart in dummy and lead the diamond jack. If the finesse is onside you are done. Say lefty wins the king and a club is returned. Win in hand, cash the heart jack and the top diamonds and (assuming the 10 doesn't drop) go to dummy with the spqade king and cash all the hearts. Guess the endposition. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jlall Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 Well assuming hearts are 4-2 or better, going after spades first automatically wins when: 1) The SQ is on2) The spades are 3-3 So that's ~ 68 %. You have extra chances if those fail, but note that you cannot play for the double diamond finesse anymore as you won't have entries (say you win the heart, spade spade, they win and play a heart, you win in hand and cash a spade getting the bad news, you now have only 1 entry to dummy). So your main extra chance will be a spade diamond squeeze, or a double squeeze. Playing the DJ first automatically wins when: 1) The DK is on2) The DT drops in 3 rounds3) The SQ is on So that's ~84 % You have some extra squeeze chances also obviously. Anyways, the 2nd line must be much better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gnasher Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 win the heart in dummy I think you should play low on the first heart, planning to cross back to dummy in hearts at trick 2. That way, you'll find out about a 5-1 heart break in time to do something about it. Also, ♥7 may hold, providing an extra entry which may be useful in some lines. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 I'd win in South and play a diamond to the Jack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jlall Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 I'd win in South and play a diamond to the Jack. Why? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 Just because it is flexible, might win immediately and will certainly allow a large variety of end positions. At the table that would be enough for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted January 31, 2010 Report Share Posted January 31, 2010 By the way (kust noticed the hand ref) I haven't looked at the hand and my line may not work at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pict Posted February 1, 2010 Report Share Posted February 1, 2010 I'd win in South and play a diamond to the Jack. Why? Looking at it again in the light of day I take the point. A lot of effort reading discards to never quite match the success of running the Jack of diamonds. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.