gwnn Posted January 19, 2010 Report Share Posted January 19, 2010 [hv=d=e&v=n&n=sj6hkq7dk72cjt963&w=sq983hj985daj53c8&e=skt542h6d98cak742&s=sa7hat432dqt64cq5]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv] Hello, this is the fourth thread in the big poll. If you didn't start at the beginning, please start at the beginning (hand 1). Please provide the most probable result after East opens 1♠ and you either a) passb) doublec) bid 2♥. Please do a cross imp result like: a-b:a-c:b-c: (a-c means the imps a wins over c) Thanks :) Please try to do all 30 hands also :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awm Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 a: 1♠-P-2♠-P-P. We may push them up to 3♠ by balancing. -140.b: 1♠-X-3♠ (mixed)-4♣-X. Three down, -800.c: 1♠-2♥-3♠ (mixed)-4♥-4♠; doubled. One down, +100. a-b: 12 IMPs (660)a-c: -6 IMPs (-240)b-c: -14 IMPs (-900) It is possible that we are pulling 4♣X to 4♥, which is doubled by west, but this probably won't save more than one trick. It is conceivable that north will pass 3♠ or make a responsive double, but my guess is that 4♣ would be a common action on a hand where we seem to have a majority of the values and it could easily be a 9+ fit each way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shyams Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 a. 1S (P) 3S? (P) 4S all pass. I often raise based on LTC and the West hand is a 3S (I guess most will call this a bad bid...). Most probable result -1b. Agree with awm. The double could easily lead to 4Cxc. Agree with awm. 4Sx -1 a-b = 13 IMPs (+850) to N/Sa-c = (2) IMPs (-50) to N/Sb-c = (14) IMPs (-900) to N/S Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hanp Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 lol @ 1S - 2S. Also, on a diamond lead, I'd expect east to make 4S. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimG Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 a: 1♠-P-2♠-P-P. We may push them up to 3♠ by balancing. -140.b: 1♠-X-3♠ (mixed)-4♣-X. Three down, -800.c: 1♠-2♥-3♠ (mixed)-4♥-4♠; doubled. One down, +100. I don't think North should venture 4♣ on (B), especially not vulnerable, just hope the opponents have guessed (or will guess) the level incorrectly. On © it may be double dummy talk, but it seems to me that east should pass over 4♥ after his partner's total tricks sort of raise. We've pressured them, they've guessed, 4♠ just means that we're taking the last guess...in front of a partner who might know what to do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Codo Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 A: 1 ♠ 3♣ (or whatever Bergen you use) 3 ♠ -140B 1♠ X 3♠ 4♣ X ap -800C 1♠ 2 ♥ 3♠ 4♥ 4♠ AP or North even doubles +100 A:B +560 (12)A:C -240 (6)B:C -900 (14) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shyams Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 Also, on a diamond lead, I'd expect east to make 4S. I thought about this before my first post. But if I were to choose one outcome, I think there is a higher probability of SA then Sx opening leads. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jukmoi Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 (edited) 1♠-dbl-2♠-3♣apresult -2 (or -3) 1♠-pass-2♠-apresult +1(if defence gets in second round of trumps, declarer has 6 trump tricks and 3 tricks from side suits.) 1♠-2♥-2♠-3♥pass-pass-3♠-ap= Pass wins double 2imp (60)2H wins double 2imp (60)2H vs pass flat. Edited January 20, 2010 by jukmoi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kayin801 Posted January 20, 2010 Report Share Posted January 20, 2010 A: 1 ♠ 3♣ (or whatever Bergen you use) 3 ♠ -140B 1♠ X 3♠ 4♣ X ap -800C 1♠ 2 ♥ 3♠ 4♥ 4♠ AP or North even doubles +100 A:B +560 (12)A:C -240 (6)B:C -900 (14) I'm on board here. Maybe slightly different route for C (i might try 3H instead of 3S with W), and definitely a X. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fluffy Posted January 21, 2010 Report Share Posted January 21, 2010 this hand is more flat than you think A:1♠-p-2♠-X-3♣-4♥-X for -500B:1♠-X-3♥-4♣-X- for -800C:1♠-2♥-3♥-4♥-4♠-p-p-X for -590 after ♥A lead. A-B = 7 IMPsA-C = 3 IMPsB-C= -5 IMPs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted January 21, 2010 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2010 I've seen this hand before :( a. 1♠-limit raise-accept-1 down +50b. 1♠-x-2♥*-3♣; x -500c. 1♠-2♥-limit raise, accept, +50 ab: 11ac: 0bc: -11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mohitz Posted January 23, 2010 Report Share Posted January 23, 2010 a) I will show responder's hand as a 4 card LR and IMO opener accepts. So, 4S +50B ) 1S - (X) - 2NT - (3C) - X. 2NT = 4 card LR -500c) Again same, 1S - (2H) - 2NT - (3H) - 4S +50 Difficult to say whether 4S makes or not. So, will go with the consensus ab = +550 -11ac = 0bc = +550 -11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
awm Posted January 23, 2010 Report Share Posted January 23, 2010 B) 1S - (X) - 2NT - (3C) - X. 2NT = 4 card LR +500 Surely this should be -500 for N/S since they are the ones in 3♣X. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mohitz Posted January 23, 2010 Report Share Posted January 23, 2010 B) 1S - (X) - 2NT - (3C) - X. 2NT = 4 card LR +500 Surely this should be -500 for N/S since they are the ones in 3♣X. Right. Corrected now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdonn Posted January 23, 2010 Report Share Posted January 23, 2010 a. 1♠ p 3♠ p4♠ ppp+50b. 1♠ X 2NT (limit+) 3♣X ppp-500c. 1♠ 2♥ 3♥ 4♥4♠ ppp+50 I'm not so sure east would double 3♣ given his minimum and 9 card spade fit (in fact I think he wouldn't) but I'm trying to avoid being biased in favor of the double so... a-b: +11a-c: 0b-c: -11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dirk Kuijt Posted January 24, 2010 Report Share Posted January 24, 2010 Well, if I'm defending with the South hand, East makes ten tricks (since South leads a small diamond), so I have a1♠-p-3♠-p4♠-p-p-p -420 b1♠-X-3♠-4♣-X-p-p-p -800 c1♠-2♥-3♠-4♥4♠-p-p-p -420 hence a-b +9 IMPa-c 0 IMPb-c -9 IMP (Feel free to change the play result if you think this is really irrational.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mbodell Posted January 24, 2010 Report Share Posted January 24, 2010 Jack playing 2001 BWS on championship setting says: a 4se= -420b 4se-1 50c 4se-1 50 a-b -10a-c -10b-c 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted January 24, 2010 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2010 Jack?!?!?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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