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Official BBO Hijacked Thread Thread


Winstonm

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I only have one name for you.

 

Bill James.

Amen, brother.

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QUOTE (Al_U_Card @ Jan 13 2010, 02:49 PM)

I only have one name for you.

 

Bill James. 

 

Amen, brother.

 

Ditto but there are sooo many factors not to mention the prestige to being a first time eligible entrant (Alomar may be indeed) vs. the long wait for Dawson, legit wait time but still deserves to get there.

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Alomar too but Dawson a cinch.

 

When he wanted to play for the Cubs he plopped a signed blank contract on the GM's desk and then went on to win the MVP. 

 

Extraneous "character" actions DO count or there would be no need for a vote, just count the stats.  Alomar is a cinch but will sweat mildly.  McGuire, Sosa, Bonds?  They deserve to sweat a lot.

 

BTW, In my fantasy baseball keeper league entering it's 20th season, I traded Sosa in his rookie year for Lenny Dykstra who immediately threw his back out and retired and some stiff that bought a car wash in Mexico.

 

Please don't mention Sammy again!

We just finished our 25th season which I was lucky enough to win.

 

 

Of course I love the Hawk but it was pointed out to me that Bobby Abreu is a much better ball player and no one mentions him for the Hall. I think the fact that Hawk got an MVP, one he did not deserve to win, helped him alot.

 

Everyone wanted ozzy in the hall as the greatest fielding shortstop ever but what about the greatest fielding first baseman...etc?

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Alomar too but Dawson a cinch.

 

When he wanted to play for the Cubs he plopped a signed blank contract on the GM's desk and then went on to win the MVP. 

 

Extraneous "character" actions DO count or there would be no need for a vote, just count the stats.  Alomar is a cinch but will sweat mildly.  McGuire, Sosa, Bonds?  They deserve to sweat a lot.

 

BTW, In my fantasy baseball keeper league entering it's 20th season, I traded Sosa in his rookie year for Lenny Dykstra who immediately threw his back out and retired and some stiff that bought a car wash in Mexico.

 

Please don't mention Sammy again!

We just finished our 25th season which I was lucky enough to win.

 

 

Of course I love the Hawk but it was pointed out to me that Bobby Abreu is a much better ball player and no one mentions him for the Hall. I think the fact that Hawk got an MVP, one he did not deserve to win, helped him alot.

 

Everyone wanted ozzy in the hall as the greatest fielding shortstop ever but what about the greatest fielding first baseman...etc?

Who would you have given the MVP to that year? I thought he was pretty clear.

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I'm aware of Bill James. I admit to not reading that so if he covers any of these questions I'll be impressed. Some I mentioned some I didn't.

 

How do you weigh championships? Should they count more during your best years than your worst years?

How do you weigh being a pioneer? First black / latino / gay? / amputee / deaf / etc. player in baseball / major leagues / AL or NL / at a position / on a team / etc.?

How do you weigh leadership?

How do you weigh fielding? Errors aren't enough, for example what if I have fewer errors because I don't even try at plays that will be close like diving for fly balls? What if I'm an outfielder next to an exceptionally fast center fielder so I have less area to cover?

How do you weigh context? For example, exceptional play with an injury. Or when your team is one out away from losing?

 

There is just no way, even if you can adequately "count the stats" (and the fact this has improved so much recently just shows how inaccurate doing so would long have been) that you should judge acceptance to the hall of fame on a formula. In conclusion I didn't think it was possible in this thread but I have managed to hijack it.

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I'm aware of Bill James. I admit to not reading that so if he covers any of these questions I'll be impressed. Some I mentioned some I didn't.

 

How do you weigh championships? Should they count more during your best years than your worst years?

How do you weigh being a pioneer? First black / latino / gay? / amputee / deaf / etc. player in baseball / major leagues / AL or NL / at a position / on a team / etc.?

How do you weigh leadership?

How do you weigh fielding? Errors aren't enough, for example what if I have fewer errors because I don't even try at plays that will be close like diving for fly balls? What if I'm an outfielder next to an exceptionally fast center fielder so I have less area to cover?

How do you weigh context? For example, exceptional play with an injury. Or when your team is one out away from losing?

 

There is just no way, even if you can adequately "count the stats" (and the fact this has improved so much recently just shows how inaccurate doing so would long have been) that you should judge acceptance to the hall of fame on a formula. In conclusion I didn't think it was possible in this thread but I have managed to hijack it.

There's some good statistic work with respect to defense that goes way beyond fielding percentage (e.g. the "range factor" which takes into account the potential problem you mention about not getting to, or trying for, many balls). Position adjustments are important, also (and have been deciphered, to a large extent), e.g. Alomar, as a very good defensive middle infielder vs. Dawson, as a very good defensive outfielder.

 

Batting average vs. RBI is also reasonably well decipherable via a "Runs Created" method largely pioneered by James (as was the Range Factor). There are a few different Runs Created formulas, but they all do a pretty good job of contextualizing offensive stats between people whose strengths differ (e.g. power hitters vs. guys who are good at getting on base).

 

Different eras have also been normalized to a large extent. Different length careers is a bit of a judgment call; it doesn't really require statistical normalization, but different people have different ideas in the HOF discussion about whether it's better to be good for 20 years or great for 10.

 

I think it's impossible to quantify stuff like "First black," or being deaf, or leadership; the stuff that could conceivably be quantified, though (Good-fielding, high-on base percentage shortstop vs. great-fielding power hitting first baseban) has been quantified REALLY well by James and those who have come after him.

 

I'd highly recommend any of the annual old Baseball Abstracts as very entertaining, very enlightening reading.

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Andre Dawson and not Roberto Alomar?  That ain't right.

nothing against dawson, but imo you're exactly right... he's my 2nd baseman on my all time team... as far as quantification (stats and how to judge them), i agree with josh that some of these things seem too subjective to judge... as far as steroids (and i know i'm probably in a minority), i could care less about it... barry bonds was one of the greatest hitters i ever saw - and i've seen more than a few, quite apart from his (maybe) roid-induced power, and if i were voting he'd sail in

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Raines isn't in yet, Damon will be but he's not mentioned yet cause he's not eligible until he stops playing. Dawson took 9 years(?) which is ok by me.

 

Currently, 500 odd people vote with their hearts and stats are used to highlight their errors. I believe Bill James material is so comprehensive that it includes things like "fielding range", ie. the number of balls the shortstop actually got to.

 

Maybe Bill should get a veto vote?

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Did you know, by the way, that Mark McGwire had a higher career on-base percentage than Willie Mays? On any given at bat, over the course of their careers, Mays was more likely to make an out than McGwire.
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Did you know, by the way, that Mark McGwire had a higher career on-base percentage than Willie Mays? On any given at bat, over the course of their careers, Mays was more likely to make an out than McGwire.

and bonds far distanced both... 5th or 6th all time i think

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Did you know, by the way, that Mark McGwire had a higher career on-base percentage than Willie Mays?  On any given at bat, over the course of their careers, Mays was more likely to make an out than McGwire.

and bonds far distanced both... 5th or 6th all time i think

Well of course, he was intentionally walked so often...

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So I learned lobowolf is a real person recently, and was spotted at a regional! Who knew ;)

Phil knew, but that's about it.

 

Clee must have narced me out. They kicked our chit, too.

 

Rumors of my existence are greatly exaggerated.

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This thread is un-hijackable: whichever way it goes IS the topic.

what about the greatest fielding first baseman..

 

Bill Buckner?

Keith Hernandez?

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