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Responding to Weak 2 Hearts


What is Your Bid?  

67 members have voted

  1. 1. What is Your Bid?

    • Pass
      3
    • 2NT
      5
    • 3 Clubs
      0
    • 3 Hearts
      0
    • 4 Hearts
      54
    • 5 Hearts
      3
    • Other
      2


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5, after a Deal 3.1 analysis, found at:

http://jplan.org/HeyMrTamManBridgeLinks/bbo36060analysis.pdf

This time I used the standard Deal table format and verified the results statistically.

 

On most of the hands, 5X goes for less than what EW can make. On most of the hands NS make only 3. The duplication of values and length in hearts lowers the expectation for NS.

 

This is also an interesting LOTT hand. Expected Total Trumps are 19+ (EW rate to have 8-9 spades, 8-9 diamonds, and 7 clubs, so for LOTT a trump or two is added for the EW two-suited fit). So it makes sense that most of the time, if NS make only 3 (9 tricks), then EW expect 10-11 tricks.

 

Regards, Paul

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