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Your call part 2


dcohio

Your Call?  

18 members have voted

  1. 1. Your Call?

    • 1NT
      0
    • 2NT
      1
    • 3NT
      17
    • 2[HE]
      0
    • other
      0


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Deal 3.1 simulation of 10 hands indicates 3NT makes about 60% of the time, more if West leads a heart. My opponents never lead a heart when I hold AQTxxx, but South can strip the hand and endplay East in hearts. Here are the ten hands, apparently making 3NT without too much trouble on #3, 4, 5, 7, 8, and 9. But note hands #5 and 8, where North will not bid 1S if playing balance WJO.

 

1. K9873 --- A743 J832

2. QT653 --- AQ975 T42

3. QJ542 --- Q75 AT752

4. KT752 5 A5 JT743

5. KQJ9543 --- QJT53 3

6. QT754 64 AJ7 JT7

7. KT875 7 AT74 J65

8. KQJ86542 6 QJ42 ---

9. QJT72 --- J9 AJ7432

10. KQ974 --- QT93 JT43

 

Regards, Paul

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Agree with aguahombre. Also this is not a balancing bid, but a totally obvious pass. Opposite any sort of reasonable balancing hand, 3NT is an obvious call.

Once again we agree. That 1 balance is awful, even at MP.

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