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Can you get it right?


flytoox

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I'll play for a singleton ace of trumps. Ruff two spades high, ruff two clubs high, then play a trump and look closely to opponents reactions in order to guess what to play on the heart return.

 

If at some stage you're overruffed and a trump is played back, there are still some squeeze chances.

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I was going to say im with whereaqles, but lets first check how good his line his.

You need A sgl diamond - this is about 30%

You also need to get the heart , this is less then 50%.

Combining it gives you 15%. You also makes it when the QJ of spade are doublton, i dont know how much it adds but it is certentily less then 10%, als some overruffing should take the chances a bit lower, so you have less then 25% .

finding RHO with both spade pictures is 25%, so its better.

Going for simple squeeze will be imo less then 25%.

So its probebly best to begin with a trump, play 1 more to take them out,and finnese spade twice. i wouldnt play small if LHO wining the A of heart come back with heart, because usually the opponents doesnt give present for no resson.

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hi fly.. draw trumps, trump a club to leave west in charge, play the A, leaving the Q in south (hoping east has K), and run trumps from dummy, hoping both have spades.. what i see is:

 

[hv=n=sxhdxcx&s=skxhqdc]133|200|[/hv]

 

now play the last diamond... have no idea if this works

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Draw trumps, I'll see what I'll do next, cause you might have to cash in A first, or keep it and cash in AK first... However, I think you might have to ruff 1, so don't draw all your trumps just yet, only 4 :D It also depends on what opps play when they have a trick with A...
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Several lines suggest themselves.

 

1) The black suit elimination originally suggested, playing for the hand with the A singleton to be endplayed (and not be able to overruff early and exit other black suit).

 

2) A simple positional squeeze against WEST, playing him to have K and four cards (or more) in clubs (requires ruffing two spades in hand, and gets lucky if QJ fall in three rounds.

 

3) A triple squeeze, playing one player or the other other to hold 4+, 4+, and the King (requires one black suit ruff in both each hand to isolate the threat.

 

4) A vienna coupe against EAST, playing him to hold K (or J) and five or any length to both QJ. This is the line Jimmy tried for (but his ending can't be right.. he had to ruff two , so dummy would have no left, and there would be the T in dummy at this point. He showed it as a double squeeze, but that doesn't work because without ruffing the threat, you only have 10 winners, not the 11 he has shown in his ending.

 

How would I play it, I would start out hoping for mis-defense and win , cross in . and lead a low . I want WEST to think I am trying to trick him in playing low from doubleton king, crashing with his partner's singleton ace. If he thinks this way with Ax, he will play low. When the holds, I know eliminate the black cards, and thow WEST in I guess.

 

Should they win and clear , I will go for the positional double squeeze on WEST in clubs and .

 

Ben

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[hv=n=sxxhatdqjtxxcakxx&w=sjxxhkxxxdcqjtxxx&e=sq9xxhjxxxxdaxxcx&s=saktxhqxdk987xcxx]399|300|[/hv]

 

Looks many ppl would make it at the table.

 

At the table I adopted stripe play, which was unsucessful for the c and d distribution.

 

Knocking out D ace looks a better line, you still keep many chance, you can sqz LHO in C/H, or RHO in S/H.

 

 

Hongjun

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you're right ben, the 10 is still in my hand and no club... sigh... i saw a squeeze position and by gum i inserted it ;)

:-) Visualization is the key... you visualized a great double squeeze ending. Next, you have to learn to make sure you have the cards to reach the desired ending. I really liked your ending, so did at least ...Trpltrbl.... This is because it is a cute ending, just not possible.

 

ben

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