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try this lead


shevek

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I would definitely lead a spade here. Ace of trumps seems really bad, you are giving up the tempo, possibly blowing a trump trick, and to what gain? You have xxx in their side suit! Sure if you had QTxx of clubs go for it, but xxx? Really?

 

As far as diamond vs spade, a diamond is more likely to hit a bonanza and set up tricks. It is a really active lead, and will frequently fail. Do we need to go for it this much? Well trumps are splitting, and we have xxx of their side suit so finesses are winning/suits are splitting.

 

Still, they had an invitational auction and seem to have marginal values at best for this game. I'm not going to blow up the whole diamond suit in a desperation attempt, I think they will go down on a spade lead often enough combined with a spade rarely blowing a trick.

 

All of this analysis leads to the little old lady choice... a spade. I understand a diamond lead though think it's misguided, think any round suit lead is bad though.

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Also, with the trump ace in our hand, on some hands where a diamond lead was necessary we can still shift effectively when in. Obviously there will be some hands where we need to use our tempo advantage to get diamonds going first, just saying that some set of hands where a diamond lead was necessary we can still shift and be ok.
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