jmcw Posted October 2, 2009 Report Share Posted October 2, 2009 [hv=d=w&v=n&n=s8hj643d9875caj53&s=sakqt32ha7dack976]133|200|Scoring: IMPWest leads the K♥. Whats the best line to make 6♣[/hv] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dicklont Posted October 2, 2009 Report Share Posted October 2, 2009 Win the first trick.Play ace and king of trumps. When the queen did not drop run the spades and discard hearts. You make it when the spades are 3-3 or the queen dropped in the second round.A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.I think this is better than de 50% odds of trump queen onside. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Little Kid Posted October 2, 2009 Report Share Posted October 2, 2009 EDIT: Nevermind, I thought the contract was 6♠ lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xcurt Posted October 2, 2009 Report Share Posted October 2, 2009 A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubletonanywhere and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.Also 5-1 spades with the long trumps and long spades together as long as the ♠J is stiff. This seems to add up to about 70% assuming trumps are 3-2. Also, both this line and the club finesse line make when the clubs are 4-1 onside as long as spades run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bid_em_up Posted October 2, 2009 Report Share Posted October 2, 2009 A small extra chance is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades. It doesn't matter where the spade Jack is as long as the hand with four spades also holds the long trump. You'll ruff the fourth round, cross back to hand and lead a 5th round pitching the remaining heart. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
woefuwabit Posted October 2, 2009 Report Share Posted October 2, 2009 Win the first trick.Play ace and king of trumps. When the queen did not drop run the spades and discard hearts. You make it when the spades are 3-3 or the queen dropped in the second round.A small extra change is spades 4-2 with the jack doubleton and the longer trumps in the hand with the longer spades.I think this is better than de 50% odds of trump queen onside. Assuming clubs break 3-2. Probability of ♣Qx = 40%Probability of ♠ 3-3 = 35.5%Probability of ♠Jx with ♣xx = 1/3 * 48.5% * 7/16 = 7.07% Together it's about 64% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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