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Pass or 4H at MP's?


kgr

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[hv=d=s&v=n&s=sajxxxhxxdaxxcaxx]133|100|Scoring: MP[/hv]

Opps pass:

1-2

2-3

??

 

Your agreements:

2 is not Game forcing and 3 is 6 card and limit.

Your 2 was the only bid that is not game forcing.

Do you have enough to bid 4 (or 3NT) now?

 

Thanks,

Koen

PS: We feel that this bidding is not flexible enough and consider to make this sequence GF. Responder should then rebid 2NT iso 3 without a GF hand.

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Let's give partner a reasonable hand and play it.

 

x KQxxxx KQx xxx

 

Nothing special there. But, it looks like the hand probably will turn on hearts coming in for one loser.

 

This will often be the case, I'd bet.

 

With only two outside entries, the spades probably won't be established to ditch some loser. Spade to Ace, ruff, spade to side Ace, ruff, spade to other side Ace, ruff, abandoned spade winner.

 

So, three pure covers will probably make this game roughly 50-50 in the long run, by my guestimation.

 

Add in the J, 10, or even 9 to the heart suit, and the odds of hearts coming in with only one loser seems to increase.

 

So, if I changed the hand to Axxxx-Jx-Axx-Axx, 4 for sure. With this hand, I would not be surprised if passing was the long winner.

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[hv=d=s&v=n&s=sajxxxhxxdaxxcaxx]133|100|Scoring: MP[/hv]

Opps pass:

1-2

2-3

??

 

Your agreements:

2 is not Game forcing and 3 is 6 card and limit.

Your 2 was the only bid that is not game forcing.

Do you have enough to bid 4 (or 3NT) now?

 

Thanks,

Koen

PS: We feel that this bidding is not flexible enough and consider to make this sequence GF. Responder should then rebid 2NT iso 3 without a GF hand.

I would pass over 3

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Hi,

 

given that you play MP, I would say pass will be the most likely way to go plus,

playing IMPs you have to go for game, but game wont be 50% or better.

Most likely I would game 4H, but this is only because I bid at MP the way I would

with IMP scoring.

 

You have 8 loosers, partner will have at best 7, you only have a mediocrite trump

fit and 3 cover cards for partner, so pass is certainly the percentage bid.

 

This analysis does not take into account, if partner is agressive or conservative,

and depending on his personality bidding 4 may become even clearcut at MP.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

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As far as I know you use quite weak openings, so partners approach was fine.

He should have forced to game opposite a different opening style.

 

If you open light, you must bid game with your hand.

If you do not open light, you MAY bid 4 Heart at mps.

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You have shown a minimum hand, and you have 3 Aces and a fit. If you don't bid 4 here, when will you ever bid 4 on this auction?

I wont comment on the decision, but 2S did not show a min. hand,

if I understood the system description, 2H promised another bid,

i.e. 2S simply denied the ability to make a more descriptive bid,

but it did not deny a better than min. opener.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

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You have shown a minimum hand, and you have 3 Aces and a fit.  If you don't bid 4 here, when will you ever bid 4 on this auction?

I wont comment on the decision, but 2S did not show a min. hand,

if I understood the system description, 2H promised another bid,

i.e. 2S simply denied the ability to make a more descriptive bid,

but it did not deny a better than min. opener.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

It showed less than 15 pts.

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You have shown a minimum hand, and you have 3 Aces and a fit.  If you don't bid 4 here, when will you ever bid 4 on this auction?

I wont comment on the decision, but 2S did not show a min. hand,

if I understood the system description, 2H promised another bid,

i.e. 2S simply denied the ability to make a more descriptive bid,

but it did not deny a better than min. opener.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

It showed less than 15 pts.

was 2S passable?

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

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You have shown a minimum hand, and you have 3 Aces and a fit.  If you don't bid 4 here, when will you ever bid 4 on this auction?

I wont comment on the decision, but 2S did not show a min. hand,

if I understood the system description, 2H promised another bid,

i.e. 2S simply denied the ability to make a more descriptive bid,

but it did not deny a better than min. opener.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

It showed less than 15 pts.

was 2S passable?

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

Not really. Responder will always have enough to bid 2NT or to raise to 3S.

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You have shown a minimum hand, and you have 3 Aces and a fit.  If you don't bid 4 here, when will you ever bid 4 on this auction?

I wont comment on the decision, but 2S did not show a min. hand,

if I understood the system description, 2H promised another bid,

i.e. 2S simply denied the ability to make a more descriptive bid,

but it did not deny a better than min. opener.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

It showed less than 15 pts.

was 2S passable?

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

Not really. Responder will always have enough to bid 2NT or to raise to 3S.

Love it.

 

Dylan Moran has a great skit about "not really"

 

 

About 6 minutes 12 seconds in but it is all good if you are not too sensitive B)

 

More seriously in SAYC and 2/1 2 should be forcing.

 

2/1 is obvious since the 2/1 was GF.

 

SAYC has the rule that a 2/1 will promise a rebid.

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