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Dealer: East Vul: EW Scoring: IMP Q9 AK4 T982 AK93

 

West North East South

 

 -     -     Pass  1

 Pass  1    Pass  1NT

 Pass  2    Pass  2

 Pass  4NT   Pass  ?  

 

Edited Auction to remove final two Passes.

 

1, 1 Natural

1NT 15-17

2 5+ spades

4NT Quantitative

 

Are you moving?

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AKJxx AQx and a jack is giving us a bad slam.

This is a boring 15 count - I wouldn't expect partner to invite on that v 15-17

 

I am for 6 - the Q is very good and I am not minimum - I would like partner to play it to protect his so I will try 6

 

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

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ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

You are forced in case partner is weak.

 

15 with concentrated honnors deosn't look bad but maybe a fitting queen is more likelly. As I see it if aprtner has Queens opposite AK it will be nice, but Jacks are not. But in addition he must have good spades, something like AJxxx or AKxxx is gonna make a bad slam, slam is never gonan be very good, but it can be very bad.

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AKJxx AQx  and a jack is giving us a bad slam.

This is a boring 15 count - I wouldn't expect partner to invite on that v 15-17

 

I am for 6 - the Q is very good and I am not minimum - I would like partner to play it to protect his so I will try 6

 

ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

No as Fluffy said this is the only way out to 2. You must bid 2 even if you have made an offbeat 1NT rebid with a singleton.

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5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.

It wasn't mentioned in the OP but we don't bid this way with four clubs and the only hand with four diamonds that bids this way is precisely 5=2=4=2 or maybe 5=3=4=1 with a stiff club honour.

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5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.

It wasn't mentioned in the OP but we don't bid this way with four clubs and the only hand with four diamonds that bids this way is precisely 5=2=4=2 or maybe 5=3=4=1 with a stiff club honour.

Good to know.

 

In that case I bid 5N :D

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5NT just in case we have a 4-4 minor fit.

It wasn't mentioned in the OP but we don't bid this way with four clubs and the only hand with four diamonds that bids this way is precisely 5=2=4=2 or maybe 5=3=4=1 with a stiff club honour.

Good to know.

 

In that case I bid 5N :D

5NT works well too as a blame-transfer bid :P actually now that skaeran mentioned it 6, allowing partner to pick between 6, 6 and 6NT is probably better than bidding 6NT.

 

*Wonders what bidding 6 would be - pick a slam? 2245?

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ps why did I bid 2? doesnt that suggest 3?

You are forced in case partner is weak.

ok I didn't realise that.

 

But my main poitn is partner has asked me to evaluate where I am on the 15-17 band and I have 16 with a good Q so not minimum so I bid a slam

I agree

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I would bid 6N.

Fluffy, I wouldn't call a balanced 15 count with one point in my suits "fitting". Also, the hand you construct is not such a bad slam as you have criss-cross squeeze chances in addition to just getting 3 diamond tricks.

If Fluffy's optimistic partner has 10 instead of the rounded-suit jack, it's a good slam even without any squeeze chances. AQx opposite 1098x is worth three tricks more than half the time: low to the queen, followed by the ace if it holds and another finesse if it doesn't, works when RHO has J, Jx, Jxx, Kxx, xxx, Jxxx, Kxxx, xxxx, Jxxxx or Kxxxx. Pavilecek's calculator says that that's 53% of the time.

Edited by gnasher
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After looking at this hand many times I think:

 

-If partner has Qs opposite AK we are ok, if he has Js we are in trouble.

-If partner has 10 we are ok, if he doesn't we are in trouble.

-If partner's doubleton is diamonds we are in trouble.

 

But having 10 or Queens and not Jacks is more like a matter of luck, sure he might have upgraded or downgraded his way through, but evaluating this is like fliping many coins.

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Suitplay's line loses to Jx offside but picks up x and xx offside. That does seem rather better. I think I was talking about how to play 109xx opposite AQx, though it's possible that I wasn't talking about anything at all.

Indeed it is (but 46% says sp). Thanks for the ostensibly sidetracking comment, now I learned something from this thread :)

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