TimG Posted August 1, 2009 Report Share Posted August 1, 2009 Blackshoe, How is this different from the classic case of 1♠-3♠ where 3♠ is a slow limit raise? If opener bids 4♠, we can argue that responder might have been thinking about taking stronger action than the limit raise so that 4♠ has been suggested (over pass) by the BIT. If opener passes, we can argue that responder might have been thinking about taking weaker action than the limit raise so that pass has been suggested (over 4♠) by the BIT. Using your "might have been thinking about" approach would mean that opener in this case can neither pass nor bid 4♠. Tim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hotShot Posted August 1, 2009 Report Share Posted August 1, 2009 I think this case is simpler. We have to consider 2 cases: 1) the systemic meaning of pass was forcing. Than we have to decide between dbl and 5♠ which is demonstrably suggested. Fortunately we don't need to discuss this case since the OP redefined the problem that pass is not forcing. So we take a look at case 2: 2) the systemic meaning of pass was nonforcingAny hesitation prior to a nonforcing pass, can only mean that partner thought about bidding something. So bidding is suggested over passing. Both dbl and 5♠ are suggested and if pass is a LA the player has to choose pass unless he has enough extra strength to eliminate pass as an LA. In this case he is not that strong so pass is an LA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluejak Posted August 1, 2009 Report Share Posted August 1, 2009 Before going straight to "What are the LA's?" we have to determine what the UI from the BIT is.No, a common mistake. To adjust for UI you need:UI from partner, and an LA to the chosen action, andthe chosen action to be suggested by the UI, anddamage caused by the choiceNow, since you need all of them, it is very reasonable to look at any one first. So, for eample, if you determine there are no LAs to the chosen action you need go no further: no adjustment. Despite often seeing in print an order as how you should approach UI, that is wrong: you look at whichever feature is easiest in case that is enough to decide no adjustment. :D When a BIT shows extra values it can suggest either doubling or going on rather than passing: so then the pairing method may be unnecessary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimG Posted August 1, 2009 Report Share Posted August 1, 2009 the chosen action to be suggested by the UI, and You quoted "could demonstrably have been suggested " before, which seems different than "to be suggested", the former allowing for the possibility, the latter saying it was so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackshoe Posted August 1, 2009 Report Share Posted August 1, 2009 Blackshoe, How is this different from the classic case of 1♠-3♠ where 3♠ is a slow limit raise? If opener bids 4♠, we can argue that responder might have been thinking about taking stronger action than the limit raise so that 4♠ has been suggested (over pass) by the BIT. If opener passes, we can argue that responder might have been thinking about taking weaker action than the limit raise so that pass has been suggested (over 4♠) by the BIT. Using your "might have been thinking about" approach would mean that opener in this case can neither pass nor bid 4♠. Tim Well, no. He can only do whichever thing does not damage the opponents. We can't determine damage until he's decided what he's going to do. If 4♠ makes, and he bids it, we adjust. If he passes, we don't. If 4♠ goes down, and he passes, we adjust. If he bids it, then we don't. At least, I think that's how it's supposed to work. :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
barmar Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Is that the old "If it hesitates, shoot it" approach? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackshoe Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 No, I don't think so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinidad Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Blackshoe, How is this different from the classic case of 1♠-3♠ where 3♠ is a slow limit raise? If opener bids 4♠, we can argue that responder might have been thinking about taking stronger action than the limit raise so that 4♠ has been suggested (over pass) by the BIT. If opener passes, we can argue that responder might have been thinking about taking weaker action than the limit raise so that pass has been suggested (over 4♠) by the BIT. Using your "might have been thinking about" approach would mean that opener in this case can neither pass nor bid 4♠. Tim Well, no. He can only do whichever thing does not damage the opponents. We can't determine damage until he's decided what he's going to do. If 4♠ makes, and he bids it, we adjust. If he passes, we don't. If 4♠ goes down, and he passes, we adjust. If he bids it, then we don't. At least, I think that's how it's supposed to work. :P Are you sure here? Can you demonstrate to me what action (Pass or 4♠) is suggested after 1♠- tank..3♠? You need to be able to demonstrate that it was(*) suggested before you can adjust. Rik (*) The laws are written a little more complex. They state that it "could be" demonstrably suggested. The idea behind the "could be" is that the offending player need not have been aware that he was using UI (or that there was UI) when he made the bid for the TD to adjust. That saves the TD from the impossible task of proving what was going through the offender's mind. In other words, the "could be" means that the player doesn't have to be able to demonstrate anything. But if the TD is able to demonstrate that an action is suggested over the other it is sufficient to adjust. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hotShot Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Well, no. He can only do whichever thing does not damage the opponents. We can't determine damage until he's decided what he's going to do. If 4♠ makes, and he bids it, we adjust. If he passes, we don't. If 4♠ goes down, and he passes, we adjust. If he bids it, then we don't. At least, I think that's how it's supposed to work. :P I'm not sure you are right here.The laws are about restoring equity. So if the bidding goes:1♠ - 3♠ ? Now if 3♠ promises 10-12 HCP and 3-4 ♠ we would expect opener to bid:- 4♠ with 15+ HCP- pass with 11-12 HCP With 13-14 HCP opener would judge his hand and pass with some hands and bid 4♠ with others. If responder hesitates prior to his bid, one would expect that he somehow stretched his hand to make that bid. Off cause you need to know what alternative bids like 2NT, 4♠ or 2♠ would have shown. The systemic meaning of 3♠ e.g. 10-12 HCP 4+♠ is allowed information to opener.The fact that partner stretched is UI. So if responder has the choice between pass and 4♠ (or any slam move he might want to make) he is not allowed to pass. If opener had the choice and is forced to bid 4♠ and it makes, than he did not use the UI.So there is no infraction and the score stands. Remember the laws allow to create UI but forbid it's use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinidad Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Well, no. He can only do whichever thing does not damage the opponents. We can't determine damage until he's decided what he's going to do. If 4♠ makes, and he bids it, we adjust. If he passes, we don't. If 4♠ goes down, and he passes, we adjust. If he bids it, then we don't. At least, I think that's how it's supposed to work. :unsure: I'm not sure you are right here.The laws are about restoring equity. So if the bidding goes:1♠ - 3♠ ? Now if 3♠ promises 10-12 HCP and 3-4 ♠ we would expect opener to bid:- 4♠ with 15+ HCP- pass with 11-12 HCP With 13-14 HCP opener would judge his hand and pass with some hands and bid 4♠ with others. If responder hesitates prior to his bid, one would expect that he somehow stretched his hand to make that bid. Off cause you need to know what alternative bids like 2NT, 4♠ or 2♠ would have shown.How do you know that responder stretched? The point of this auction (and the reason why it is given as an example) is that the UI tells you that responder doesn't have a "middle of the road" invitation. But you don't know what side of the road his invitation is. It could be an overbid (a stretch, where responder was thinking of making a single raise) or an underbid (where responder was considering a GF raise). But you can't tell which one it is. So, if you hold the 13-14 point hand, you are free to bid whatever you like. Both passing and bidding 4♠ are logical alternatives (LA's). But the UI ("I don't have a middle of the road invitation") doesn't make one LA demonstrably more attractive than the other. Rik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluejak Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 the chosen action to be suggested by the UI, and You quoted "could demonstrably have been suggested " before, which seems different than "to be suggested", the former allowing for the possibility, the latter saying it was so.I post a lot in these forums and on RGB [rec.games.bridge], also I answer a lot of queries by email and phone. I deliberately do not use the same language every time: it makes my posts boring and stale. In fact I very rarely say anything should be 'demonstrably suggested': are you sure you are not confusing me witrh my friend Ed who usually does write that in his posts? We are not legal eagles: we leave that to BLML [bridge-laws mailing list]. We do not need to use exact wording in every case, and I certainly do not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hotShot Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Rik, first of all my point was that, if you did not use the UI, there is no legal base to correct your score, if it happens to be good for your side. How do i know that responder stretched? - When you look at the statistics. e.g. when opener has 13 HCP, the other 3 player have an average of 9 HCP. Roughly estimated holding 9 HCP has 11% while holding 13 HCP has only 7.3%. Without considering sense, it's about 30% more likely to be 9 HCP than 13 HCP.- It does not make sense to make a nonforcing raise when your are strong enough to bid game yourself. Now what if responder has the wrong shape. How can having to much trump support be a problem? It's more likely to cause consideration, if you're only having an 8-card fit instead of the promised 9-card fit. So I would think that a stretch is more likely, than deliberately trying to miss game/slam by making a nonforcing bid. But if you can give me a good reason to do so, I'm willing to change my mind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trinidad Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Rik, first of all my point was that, if you did not use the UI, there is no legal base to correct your score, if it happens to be good for your side. How do i know that responder stretched? - When you look at the statistics. e.g. when opener has 13 HCP, the other 3 player have an average of 9 HCP. Roughly estimated holding 9 HCP has 11% while holding 13 HCP has only 7.3%. Without considering sense, it's about 30% more likely to be 9 HCP than 13 HCP.Your statistical argument makes sense, but not enough. You play that a limit raise shows 10-12. Let's just keep this range for simplicity's sake. After the hesitation, it is unlikely to be 11 and more likely to be 10 or 12. So far, we agree (I think). Your conclusion is that it must be 10. After all, given that we have 13-14 ourselves(otherwise there is no problem), the average strength for the other players must be (40-13)/3=9. And if 9 is the average then 10 will be more likely than 12. Sounds good, but... you make 2 assumptions:1) You are playing with a 40 point deck. Most deals have more points, particularly when there is a fit (as in this case). This means that you underestimate the expected strength in partner's hand.2) You assume that the opponents can have all possible hands. If the opponents know how to play bridge, they can't. LHO is unlikely to have a good hand, since he passed the 1♠ opening. You can add to that the possibility that 1♠ may have been a second seat opening and it is clear that, again, you underestimate the strength in partner's hand. All in all, I think that the probability that partner has 10 is about equal to the probability that partner has 12. Anyhow, the difference is too small to calculate at the table. If you still disagree with me on this then just assume, for the sake of argument, that the probabilities are equal. After all, the 1♠-3♠ auction was used as an example of how you should reason when you don't know which of the alternatives is made more attractive by the UI. Do you allow both LA's or forbid both of them and adjust? - It does not make sense to make a nonforcing raise when your are strong enough to bid game yourself. The point is that partner wasn't strong enough to bid game. He was considering whether he was strong enough to bid game and concluded that he wasn't. The key is that partner can have two hands. On the one side partner may have stretched. He has considered a single raise, but thought he was just a bit too strong for that (say 9 really nice points, reevaluated to 10). On the other side partner may have been considering a game forcing raise and concluded that he wasn't good enough for that (12 nice points, but after consideration not nice enough to force game). The UI told you that partner is unlikely to have the straight down the middle 11 point hand. Rik Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackshoe Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 Are you sure here?Of course not. I said so, didn't I? Can you demonstrate to me what action (Pass or 4♠) is suggested after 1♠- tank..3♠? You need to be able to demonstrate that it was(*) suggested before you can adjust. When I wrote that to which you responded, it was in the assumption that the criterion regarding suggestion had been met.(*) The laws are written a little more complex. They state that it "could be" demonstrably suggested. The idea behind the "could be" is that the offending player need not have been aware that he was using UI (or that there was UI) when he made the bid for the TD to adjust. That saves the TD from the impossible task of proving what was going through the offender's mind. In other words, the "could be" means that the player doesn't have to be able to demonstrate anything. But if the TD is able to demonstrate that an action is suggested over the other it is sufficient to adjust. I think it's important to keep this in mind. I see a lot of posts that start from "it suggests such and such" without any "demonstration" at all. Maybe that's because the poster believes it's obvious, but that doesn't mean it's obvious to anyone else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackshoe Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 The key is that partner can have two hands. On the one side partner may have stretched. He has considered a single raise, but thought he was just a bit too strong for that (say 9 really nice points, reevaluated to 10). On the other side partner may have been considering a game forcing raise and concluded that he wasn't good enough for that (12 nice points, but after consideration not nice enough to force game). The UI told you that partner is unlikely to have the straight down the middle 11 point hand. This line seems to say that we cannot demonstrate that the UI suggests partner has a particular hand, only that he has one of two possible hands (and not, in this case, a third). So the question is whether a particular call which caters for one possibility but not the other is allowed, or whether a call must be chosen which does not cater for either possibility (if there is one). And what do we do if there isn't such a call? Absent UI, on the auction 1♠-3♠, opener might pass, might bid game, or might make a slam try. If he passes, the "if it hesitates, shoot it" crowd will argue that he's catering for responder to have stretched to bid 3, and want to adjust. If he bids game or makes a slam try, they'll argue that he's catering for responder to have undervalued his hand, and argue to adjust. Assuming the chosen action works, of course. If it was the right choice, then, goes the argument, the opponents were damaged, so we must adjust. This cannot be the right approach because, as someone pointed out upthread, it will mean there are hands the recipient of UI cannot bid at all. I would also say that what the responder actually has in his hand is not an indicator to what is demonstrably (or otherwise) suggested. Nobody else knows what he has, they can only guess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimG Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 the chosen action to be suggested by the UI, and You quoted "could demonstrably have been suggested " before, which seems different than "to be suggested", the former allowing for the possibility, the latter saying it was so.I post a lot in these forums and on RGB [rec.games.bridge], also I answer a lot of queries by email and phone. I deliberately do not use the same language every time: it makes my posts boring and stale. In fact I very rarely say anything should be 'demonstrably suggested': are you sure you are not confusing me witrh my friend Ed who usually does write that in his posts? We are not legal eagles: we leave that to BLML [bridge-laws mailing list]. We do not need to use exact wording in every case, and I certainly do not.Yes, I'm sure it was you who quoted "demonstrably suggested":Yes. Law 16B1A reads in part "... may not choose from among logical alternatives one that could demonstrably have been suggested over another by the extraneous information." I think that means you have to look at each pair separately.I think part of my confusion is over the meaning of "could demonstrably have been suggested". Does the adverb "demonstrably" modify "could" or "suggested"? It might mean: "someone could show that it was suggested". Or, it could mean: "could have been clearly suggested". I think you are using the first: one must demonstrate that an action was suggested. I think Ed is using the second: an action that could have been suggested is not allowed (if successful) -- it is unnecessary to demonstrate that it actually was suggested. It seems useful to me to use consistent wording when speaking of the application of Laws even if this is not BLML. Otherwise ambiguities are bound to arise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluejak Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 When I quote a Law and do so in parentheses then of course I quote it accurately. Be serious, what else do you expect? But I am not constrained to use lawyerly language when I am not quoting, nor do I, nor do I intend to. As for directly comparing things in quotes and other arguments, I do not think that helpful. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimG Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 When I quote a Law and do so in parentheses then of course I quote it accurately. Be serious, what else do you expect? But I am not constrained to use lawyerly language when I am not quoting, nor do I, nor do I intend to. As for directly comparing things in quotes and other arguments, I do not think that helpful. It appears to me that your non-lawyerly language means something different than the Law which you quoted. If you are going to say things that mean something different than the Laws, yet refuse to explain when asked, that does not seem helpful to those who wish to gain understanding. If things in quotes and other arguments are not in agreement, shouldn't they be compared and discussed in order to get to the correct understanding? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluejak Posted August 2, 2009 Report Share Posted August 2, 2009 I am sorry: I have posted this way for many years, and am not changing my posting stryle. That's it. And, no, I do not agree with the assertion. But I am not going to argue it while people are telling me how I should post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascade Posted August 3, 2009 Report Share Posted August 3, 2009 The key is that partner can have two hands. On the one side partner may have stretched. He has considered a single raise, but thought he was just a bit too strong for that (say 9 really nice points, reevaluated to 10). On the other side partner may have been considering a game forcing raise and concluded that he wasn't good enough for that (12 nice points, but after consideration not nice enough to force game). The UI told you that partner is unlikely to have the straight down the middle 11 point hand. This line seems to say that we cannot demonstrate that the UI suggests partner has a particular hand, only that he has one of two possible hands (and not, in this case, a third). So the question is whether a particular call which caters for one possibility but not the other is allowed, or whether a call must be chosen which does not cater for either possibility (if there is one). And what do we do if there isn't such a call? Absent UI, on the auction 1♠-3♠, opener might pass, might bid game, or might make a slam try. If he passes, the "if it hesitates, shoot it" crowd will argue that he's catering for responder to have stretched to bid 3, and want to adjust. If he bids game or makes a slam try, they'll argue that he's catering for responder to have undervalued his hand, and argue to adjust. Assuming the chosen action works, of course. If it was the right choice, then, goes the argument, the opponents were damaged, so we must adjust. This cannot be the right approach because, as someone pointed out upthread, it will mean there are hands the recipient of UI cannot bid at all. I would also say that what the responder actually has in his hand is not an indicator to what is demonstrably (or otherwise) suggested. Nobody else knows what he has, they can only guess. In theory I agree with this. In practice a regular partner will often be able to discern what was demonstrably suggested. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackshoe Posted August 3, 2009 Report Share Posted August 3, 2009 That's a whole 'nother can of worms, Wayne. Let's not go there just yet. B) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimG Posted August 3, 2009 Report Share Posted August 3, 2009 I'm sorry that the way I pointed out what I saw as an apparent conflict caused problems. I did not mean to criticize anyone. David, please accept my apology and let me try again. the chosen action to be suggested by the UI, and Earlier you quoted the Law which includes "could demonstrably have been suggested". It is possible that these two statements have different meanings. I would like to better understand this Law and would appreciate it if you would elaborate: tell me that I am wrong to think that these two statements have a different meaning, or explain to me why it does not matter that the two statements have different meanings. Let me try and explain how I see the two statements as differing. "The chosen action to be suggested by the UI" leaves no doubt that the chosen action was suggested by the UI. "Could demonstrably have been suggested" seems to me to express a possibility rather than a sure thing. I want to stress that I have some (considerable) difficulty translating "could demonstrably have been suggested" into plain English. And, that this difficulty that is mine could well be the cause of what I have called an "apparent conflict". I could understand "was clearly suggested". I could also understand "could have been suggested" or "may have been suggested". But, I am having a difficult time with "could demonstrably have been suggested". Tim Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peachy Posted August 3, 2009 Report Share Posted August 3, 2009 I could understand "was clearly suggested". I could also understand "could have been suggested" or "may have been suggested". But, I am having a difficult time with "could demonstrably have been suggested". Tim This phraseology allows the ruling to be against whatever turns out successful. If 1S-...3S-4S and 4S makes, it is ruled as 3S making 4. If 1S-...3S-P and 4S does not make, it is ruled as 4S down 1. Long time ago there was a thread on blml [where I no longer visit or post, don't need the headache...] on something like 1S-...3S-6S. Apparently opener - who was familiar with the workings of the UI laws - held a hand that was teetering between accepting and declining an invite, was frustrated that whatever he did, Pass or bid 4S, then if the result was good to them it would be taken away. So, he bid 6S - something that was definitely NOT suggested by the UI at all. But when that silly 6S results in 6S making six, the TD adjusts to 4S making six. The reason being that had there been no UI, he would never have bid 6S so the 6S bid was caused by the hesitation. Go figure. I am as much puzzled by the UI laws as anybody else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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