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What's your lead?


Hanoi5

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1NT was forcing, 3 could be 4th (though most people where you're playing use it to show a 5-5).

 

No lead can beat this slam. One makes it harder to make.

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Spade. And I consulted with all of my personalities, and we are unanimous on the choice of a spade lead.
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Spade. And I consulted with all of my personalities, and we are unanimous on the choice of a spade lead.

Doctor, doctor, I have a split personality!

- Yeah, ok. We will have to talk about that.

One of me wanted to lead a diamond!

- CALL AN AMBULANCE WE NEED TO BRING THIS GUY TO A HOSPITAL.

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I'll lead a diamond.

 

LHO must have a lot of shape on this auction, as he is bidding slam on what cannot be a huge amount of values, and did not even bother with keycard or anything like that. Noticing that he won't have four spades, likely shapes are things like 2-0-5-6 or 3-0-5-5. Unless partner has the spade ace, any losing spades the declaring side might have are disappearing fast on opener's hearts. In other words, catching partner with the spade queen is unlikely to actually beat this hand.

 

Partner is roughly as likely to have the diamond ace as the spade ace, and could also have the diamond king behind dummy's ace. Dummy will have enough diamonds that declarer is unlikely to be able to ditch all the diamonds before pulling trump.

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