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uncommon auction


jdonn

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[hv=d=e&v=b&n=sk98hxxxxdtxxxcxx&s=sxhakxdajcakqjtxx]133|200|[/hv]

 

East opened 1, south bid 3, west bid 4.

 

1. Is pass by north forcing?

2. What should north do?

3. If north passes what should south do?

4. In reality north passed and south bid 5. ATB?

 

The actual hand was mps but that doesn't particularly concern me. I'm more interested in imps if anything, but answer however you want.

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Given the sort of hands people bid 3 on nowadays, I don't think pass can be forcing. The answer might have been different 20 years ago.

 

I think it's easier to bid pass-dbl-4NT when you can see both hands. In particular, it seems reasonable for North to pass South's double, because he's not really expecting South to have ten top tricks.

 

5 by South is superficially attractive, because you need so little for game. However, that same little will probably be enough to get a 500 penalty from 4.

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It's not solely a question, IMO, of whether partner would double 4 with certain hands. It's a question of whether partner would be able to double this specific contract, meaning whether partner can have that good of a hand and yet the opponents still keep bidding to this level.

 

I believe that the fact of any bid of 4, followed by a double from partner, suggests strongly that partner has a lot of defense. That's unexpected unless the opponents have a lot of shape. So, whereas a hand might be constructed, I don't think it occurs often enough.

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Actually I think the dangerous assumption here is that we will get 4 for 500 if we are making 5. The opponents probably have a lot of shape here. Yes I do confess to being the 5 bidder, and perhaps I can be convinced it's wrong but not by a bunch of "dbl obv" type of answers. I mean if partner has one honor, is it more likely to be in spades or a red suit?
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...I mean if partner has one honor, is it more likely to be in spades or a red suit?

Won't partner know?

Partner knows to pull with the heart queen but not the diamond queen? Your partners are better than mine I suppose...

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It's not solely a question, IMO, of whether partner would double 4 with certain hands. It's a question of whether partner would be able to double this specific contract, meaning whether partner can have that good of a hand and yet the opponents still keep bidding to this level.

 

I believe that the fact of any bid of 4, followed by a double from partner, suggests strongly that partner has a lot of defense. That's unexpected unless the opponents have a lot of shape. So, whereas a hand might be constructed, I don't think it occurs often enough.

Are you saying that the fact that the opponents have the shape to make up for their limited high cards makes it more likely that partner has ten winners than that he has nine?

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Actually I think the dangerous assumption here is that we will get 4 for 500 if we are making 5. The opponents probably have a lot of shape here. Yes I do confess to being the 5 bidder, and perhaps I can be convinced it's wrong but not by a bunch of "dbl obv" type of answers. I mean if partner has one honor, is it more likely to be in spades or a red suit?

We'll get only 200 instead of 600 if partner has Q, and we get only three tricks from hearts and clubs, and we don't have two diamond tricks, and partner doesn't have a spade trick. That's quite a lot of conditions.

 

A strong argument in favour of doubling is that partner might have Q, which is likely to be useless in 5 but worth an extra trick in defence.

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A strong argument in favour of doubling is that partner might have Q, which is likely to be useless in 5 but worth an extra trick in defence.

Why is Q likely useless? Diamonds will then be on a finesse over opener (assuming p has an entry) for zero losers.

 

In defense, if p has no entry, declarer might be able to pitch diamonds on hearts and only lose one diamond regardless.

 

Anyway, I might be thinking to primitively about this but for me double would be automatic because it shows this hand. I am not claiming p will always make the right decision then, but he has a chance of doing so. 5 is what I would bid without K and with a club more.

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Why is Q likely useless? Diamonds will then be on a finesse over opener (assuming p has an entry) for zero losers.

So now you want partner to provide both Q and a helicopter?

 

In defense, if p has no entry, declarer might be able to pitch diamonds on hearts and only lose one diamond regardless.

True, but it needs fairly specific shapes for them to be able to take enough discards and us not to be able to get a heart ruff.

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Yes I do confess to being the 5♣ bidder, and perhaps I can be convinced it's wrong but not by a bunch of "dbl obv" type of answers. I mean if partner has one honor, is it more likely to be in spades or a red suit?

 

I don't see the reason for this concern. IMO the double is informative - it tells partner about the quality of the hand - that you are too good to pass or bid 5m. If partner has a red-suit honor, his length and distribution and minor fits should help him decide what to do over double.

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It's not solely a question, IMO, of whether partner would double 4 with certain hands.  It's a question of whether partner would be able to double this specific contract, meaning whether partner can have that good of a hand and yet the opponents still keep bidding to this level.

 

I believe that the fact of any bid of 4, followed by a double from partner, suggests strongly that partner has a lot of defense.  That's unexpected unless the opponents have a lot of shape.  So, whereas a hand might be constructed, I don't think it occurs often enough.

Are you saying that the fact that the opponents have the shape to make up for their limited high cards makes it more likely that partner has ten winners than that he has nine?

Yes.

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