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Evil Partner


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I might as well beat Ken to this. I am going to bid 3.

 

If partner bids 3NT, I can pass that.

 

If partner raises spades, I have finagled a help-suit slam try out of partner which I can accept. 6.

 

If partner retreats to 4 I will raise to 5, hopefully impeding a spade lead. It will be fun to watch my LHO try to simultaneously return a spade and a trump at trick 2 against 5.

 

If partner bids 4, I have an easy 6 call. I don't think I can ask for aces at this point so I can't bid 7.

 

Note that I can't bid 4, forcing, here. It's key-card for diamonds (0/1/1/2/2).

 

Other alternatives are just bidding 3NT (betting on some heart junk from partner or a spade lead), just bidding 5 (probably needs partner to get the trumps out before the opponents knock the A off the table, a race she rates to lose), or just bidding 5 (betting on a spade trick or a spade ruff or the A). Since partner has 22% of the missing non-diamonds (if holding 7 diamonds), and assuming no shift in the probability of holding any offsuit card a posteriori 3, I make it roughly even money that none of these things come off. Since often when partner has one trick she will have two tricks (because also holding the K) I think the times I reach slam, making, put 3 over the top in expectancy.

 

At the table I wouldn't have time to work this all out, so I would have bid a simple 5.

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Partner is a junior NV against V.

 

So I expect no outside aces, no outside stuff.

 

I would try 5 club to play.

 

If this is not to play but a kind of cuebid or denial cuebid and I have no other way to show my minor, I pass.

 

I guess the chance that the lead a heart against 3 NT is around 75 %, so I prefer to avoid this contract.

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Or Ultra-Worthless:

 

xxx

x

QJTxxxx

Jx

 

:)

 

Anyway, thanks for the responses... Interesting reasoning on 3, I considered something like that, but I wasn't sure. As it turns out 3 probably would work, partner will bid 3 and LHO has KJ9xx and may not lead a now :(

 

Well, I chose 6, not thinking of much I could do scientifically... Down 2.

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I might as well beat Ken to this. I am going to bid 3.

 

...

 

If partner raises spades, I have finagled a help-suit slam try out of partner which I can accept. 6.

You have? All you have finalged is spade length, I don't see how that qualifies as a help suit slam try. On this hand I simply guess 5. If my ace were hearts instead I might try 6 as I could at least hope to get to partner's hand.

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