Old York Posted May 1, 2009 Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 [hv=d=n&v=b&n=sa973hk87daqj9cqt&s=sj6haqj965dtcj974]133|200|Scoring: MPPlay 4♥ by North[/hv] Contract 4♥ by NorthEast leads ♣AK then third Club, ruffed and over-ruffedTrumps were originally 2-24♥= scores 26.47%4♥+1 scores 71.81% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick_s Posted May 1, 2009 Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 How did the bidding go? I'm guessing N opened a strong NT. Does E have a natural 2♣ overcall available? Based on having seen AK♣ from E, I'm playing W for the K♦. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old York Posted May 1, 2009 Author Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 There is no hidden trap here. There was no overcall at most tables and North opened a normal 1NT, South transfering and then bidding game. West did not double the 2♦ bid.Edit: West signalled hi-lo and East continued with ♣2. West did not hesitate when ♦10 was led from dummy I am only interested in the Diamond suit and the various reasoning behind placing ♦King in either handI am also interested in anyone's opinion of the huge difference in scores Tony p.s. Many declarers were given an undeserved overtrick when East switched to a Diamond Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 1, 2009 Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 What was the ♣ spot that East played? PS I find declarer play problems much easier to read when South plays it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nick_s Posted May 1, 2009 Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 One more thing...After drawing trumps, I know E had 5 clubs and 2 hearts, and W had 2 clubs and 2 hearts. So the odds are 9 to 6 in favor of W having the K♦. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hanp Posted May 1, 2009 Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 North declarer? This is too complicated. I would finesse west almost surely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kfay Posted May 1, 2009 Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 East has ♣s... W probably has ♦s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Old York Posted May 1, 2009 Author Report Share Posted May 1, 2009 I obviously overanalyzed this at the table, but it occurred to me that many declarers would receive a Spade switch at trick 3. This would drastically reduce declarers options as a wrong guess in Diamonds would result in 1 down unless declarer played East for the ♦King Not wanting to go against the field, I overtook ♦10 with Ace and ran the Queen, discarding the Spade loser... losing to the King for a bad result The theory of vacant places does not give an overwhelming reason for running the Ten. At the moment of truth, after West follows suit on ♦10 at trick 6, West has 6 unknown cards and East has 5 I do not believe that the game of bridge should be distilled into a giant list of probabilities, many other factors should be taken into consideration (like what is likely to occur at other tables) On the traveller, 102 players made (or were given) an overtrickand 79 players made exactly 10 tricks (from 205 tables)the remainder were typically insane results like 6♥x-2 and 3NTx+2 Tony Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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