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I messed this.


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[hv=v=e&n=sxxhajt97dxxcaqtx&s=sakjtxhxxdqjxcj98]133|200|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

THis should be easy, but I messed this and I still don't know what the best play is...this could be helpful for B/I. You're in 3NT.

West leads 7, east wins K, returns a diamond to west's A, west exits with a diamond. Your plan? Thanks!

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You started to mess it up by reaching 3NT. The contract is far from cold. There are many ways to play it. I would probably try the black suits finesses, but that's about it.
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I'm going to play for 5-3... If they are 4-4 I fall back on the finesse, where I think that it's best to finesse the (dropping the 10) now and await developments. If the finesse wins, I'll take my and play a to the Jack If the finesse loses, with another I am assuming east would lead it, but a devious east may not, and switch to a , but I'll do the same thing I suppose. It almost seems best to cash AK.

 

If they are 5-3, then it's definitely best to try to get a trick, so I'll play the J dropping the Ten and the play the 9 (if it wins) and take a double finesse, losing only when every honor is offside.

 

If were 5-3 though, why didn't west duck? So I suppose they are 4-4... Ow, my head.

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It may help to examine the play to the first 3 tricks

West led 7, but which card did East return? And why did West win trick 2?

With no entry card, West should let your Queen win

Did West exit with a card lower than 7 at trick 3?

 

I think that West has Q (at least), so I would run the 9, repeating the finesse when it wins, Then cash AK

If East returned a low Diamond and followed suit to trick 3, then lead Jack

 

Playing on Hearts may look safe (75%), but West should play the King or Queen and give you a difficult guess

The hand is definitely not "easy", and I don't think you "messed this"

 

Tony

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Run the 9 and then the J. If RHO wins either of these and returns a , we need 4 tricks. Cross and finesse.

 

If RHO wins the 1st or 2d , and doesn't return a , win a return in hand, and lead a , playing for split honors. If LHO pops an honor, win it and force out the remaining honor. If RHO returns a after winning the K, take the finesse.

 

If the J wins, abandon them, and play for split honors, either by finessing 2x, or by forcing out the remaining honor if LHO pops with one. This is fine if 's were 4-4, and only loses if they were 5-3 and LHO started with both honors.

 

It's occurred to me that maybe were 3-5 to begin with, but if so, I think I'm beat! I'm not sure how deep this analysis is, but I think it's how I'd play ATT. :lol:

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