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Another 7-4


How high do you go?  

24 members have voted

  1. 1. How high do you go?

    • Pass
      0
    • 2D
      17
    • 3D
      5
    • 4D
      1
    • 5D
      1
    • Other
      0


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Seriously I prefer 3 Diamond. If they want to play heart in the light of a 5-0 break, they can do.

That's the point: if they do bid 4, maybe pard has a stack over it :blink:

Can't be much of a stack, he didn't make a NV 1 overcall.

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2

 

While I understand 3 (but not 4), there are many reasons not to choose it.

 

We have a bad suit... certainly not a suit that rates to play well opposite an entryless dummy with short diamonds.... of course, he may have a fit, in which case I may wish I had bid 3 :blink:

 

The bidding to date suggests bad news more than good.

 

Assume partner has heart length... he passed at favourable.

 

Assume partner has only 4 hearts... rho has 5-5 or better in the majors, and therefore opener probably has short spades... he opened 1 and we are positing 4 hearts for him.. if he has fewer hearts, then either rho or cho has more... and so on.

 

We have enough defence, and enough of a distributional surprise, that we shouldn't be overly concerned about their bidding a winning game.

 

We love them playing in spades.

 

We don't mind them in 3N after we encourage a diamond lead

 

We don't mind them in hearts if partner can't make a preemptive raise in diamonds.. he'll likely have lots of hearts then

 

And 2 will probably be nearly as good a preempt as 3... lho probably can't/won't be able to show a moderate hand with 4 hearts, and who knows what will happen next?

 

I would be more inclined to 3 without one of the two black honours... now the need to preempt would, imo, outweigh the risks, because partner's silence would suggest the opps do have a good game somewhere.

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While I understand 3 (but not 4), there are many reasons not to choose it.

 

We have a bad suit... certainly not a suit that rates to play well opposite an entryless dummy with short diamonds.... of course, he may have a fit, in which case I may wish I had bid 3 :)

 

The bidding to date suggests bad news more than good.

 

Assume partner has heart length... he passed at favourable.

Well, it is true that when you hold extreme length in a suit and an opponent suit, pard rates to have a huge 55 across.

 

However, this looks like an exception to me: I think that there's a good chance pard has a diamond fit (hence the 4 bid).

 

Why? Precisely because of your last observation: pard didn't bid hearts at 'green', so it's likely he hasn't got many of those. Since he doesn't seem to have many spades as well, he probably has a couple of diamonds.

 

Still, you are right that the situation might be more dangerous than it looks. I don't think so, but if I have time I might do a little simulation.

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