Jump to content

2 way decision


Fluffy

safety or not?  

31 members have voted

  1. 1. safety or not?

    • 3NT
      26
    • 4 hearts
      5


Recommended Posts

Looks to me like the fastest 3N bid I ever had. I can see 9 tricks and 4H could even go down. This is not even close.

If you have 9 tricks in NT and hearts "could" go down (but will probably make), isn't 4 the correct matchpoints bid?

Stranger things have happened than them leading spades vs 3N and us taking 10 tricks.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 for me.  Loses often when partner has a stiff spades, but gains on a lot of hands when he has 2-3 spades.

Why do you necessarily gain when partner has 2 spades?

oops, I was being dumb, thinking we needed to let them in once less than we do.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I think "not even close", "obvious", "very easy" etc. are exaggerations. If partner has a stiff minor and the K of spades for example, 4H rates to do better. Or something like Qxxx in a minor to set up.

 

I ran some sims, 3nt wins but by only about 55-45 if you say partner must have HKQ + some stuff outside. If partner is crazy aggro (or other vulnerability conditions), then 4h can pull ahead.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I ran some sims, 3nt wins but by only about 55-45 if you say partner must have HKQ + some stuff outside.  If partner is crazy aggro (or other vulnerability conditions), then 4h can pull ahead.

The fact that 3NT wins at sims where they always make the right lead just shows how much better it will work in practice. If partner has a stiff minor and king of spades, and they lead a spade.... And I don't think that is offset by much declaring advantage, since there will rarely be much to declaring this hand.

 

It's true of course they could also make the wrong lead at 4, but I think that less likely matters, and is less likely to occur.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This time partner held

 

10xx

KQJ10xxx

xxx

-

 

They led a club on my 3NT and I could make only 9 tricks while 620 was avaible.

Next time pard will have xx KQJxxxx xx xx.

 

Be happy your opponent's aren't finding the profitable 5 sac :)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...