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Dealer: North Vul: NS Scoring: IMP KQJ976 QJT7 K65

 

(you are South)

 

West North East South

 

 -     Pass  1    1

 2    2    3    3

 4    Dbl   Pass  4

 Pass  Pass  Dbl   ? 

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I would have bid 4 the last time.

 

Pull to what? The diagram says we are doubled in 4. Or is the 4 call a mistake and we thinking about pulling pard's double of 4? (we should).

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Please elaborate on why I should bid 4 last time.

As north I would raise ’s on almost any hand that had 3’s but I see now 1 (2x) 2 is different from P (1) 1 (2) 2

A lot of reasons - 4 will frequently make, and when it doesn't they are frequently cold for 4. In other words, 4 is only wrong when 4 and 4 are going down, or when 4 gets hammered badly, but that won't happen here.

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Please elaborate on why I should bid 4 last time. 

As north I would raise ’s on almost any hand that had 3’s but I see now 1 (2x) 2 is different from P (1) 1 (2) 2

A lot of reasons - 4 will frequently make, and when it doesn't they are frequently cold for 4. In other words, 4 is only wrong when 4 and 4 are going down, or when 4 gets hammered badly, but that won't happen here.

I would add to that, by saying that when you don't know whether either game will make, bid yours as soon as possible. This relates to the idea of 'the last guess'.

 

Competitive bidding, when no-one really knows who can make what, sometimes devolves into a guess. It is winning strategy to try to make the opponents make the last guess in the auction.

 

So by jumping to 4, which could so easily be cold opposite many hands that were worth only a single raise, you force the opps to guess last. They have to decide whether to pass, double or (and this would be rare on the auction, and almost certainly wrong for them) bid at the 5-level.

 

Guessing always has a high error rate, so make them do it, not you. Think about how you felt when partner's double came around to you... you were guessing what to do, right?

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I don't like my chances of beating 4, so I think 4 is not that wrong. True, partner might have up to 5 hearts but we might only win 3 tricks in that suit and then what? Or two and another somewhere else, or maybe the double just alerts them to the situation. Too many things can go wrong, I rather pull to 4.
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[hv=d=n&v=n&n=sa32ht7543d2cqj83&w=st8ha62dk98643c74&e=s54hkqj98da5cat92&s=skqj976hdqjt7ck65]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

West North East South

 

 -     Pass  1    1

 2    2    3    3

 4    Dbl   Pass  4

 Pass  Pass  Dbl   Pass

 Pass  Pass  

 

Here's the full hand.

 

Thanks for the replies, it turned out a top board, 4+1 but I knew

we hadn’t got there gracefully. :)

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