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A delicate 5D


Walddk

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[hv=d=s&v=n&n=s85hj954d1096cq1072&s=s9hak87dakqj52ca4]133|200|Scoring: IMP

S: 5D

Lead: SK[/hv]

From the Hungarian Teams Championships on vugraph yesterday. As South you are in a delicate 5 on this auction:

 

2 2 double* 4

5 all pass

 

* 0-1 control.

 

West leads K and continues with a spade to East's ace. If you ruff high and cash one top diamond, both opponents follow. Plan the play.

 

Roland

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I ruff (high)+play the ace of trumps.

Suppose they both follow. Small trump to dummy, then:

A) If both follows hearts from top, if nothing interesting happens 3. heart hoping to find heartQ+clubK together, or if LHO won club guess...

:) If LHO had 3 trumps heartJ from dummy, intending double finess.

C) If RHO has 3 trumps club ace club, hoping KJ or KJx (or Kxx.... and duck) at LHO, and playing for heart drop if no success in clubs.

Assuming hearts are 3-2 (2 on my left) double finessing or just running the jak and playing for drop if covered are equal chances, playing for the drop is slightly superior, the latter helps even when the Q falls from the other side.

The advantege of the double finess is that it caters also DTxx onside-very inprobable if LHO had trump shortness.

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When lho had only one trump, we could also try endplay.

Play 2nd trump, find that lho had only one trump. then, don't cash last one,

Play 3 hearts, if lho has Qxx and J but not K, he would be endplayed even if rho ruffing 3rd heart won't help. rho could also forget to ruff Q when lho has both K and J.

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I was the declarer in this board. And after 1st round of trump had a very difficult time which line to choose. I thought the elimination or combination (try Clubs first, double hook in Hearts if it lost) line are very close and tough to calculate exact odds. (Especially at early morning:-) I had a bit more information than u have: I was at the table.

And I strongly believe that information (LHO is a very good player but isn't professional, could't hide his feeling; I know him very well) is helpful a lot, so thats why I chose the combination line, what is slightly worse than elimation - in armchair.

May be. Or may be not:-)

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