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Trying for a full house


Your action, dealer at favourable  

32 members have voted

  1. 1. Your action, dealer at favourable

    • pass
      1
    • 1S
      25
    • 2D multi
      1
    • 2S
      0
    • 3S
      5
    • 4S
      0
    • no other
      0


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I don't care to preempt with this one--too much chance that some random club holding in partner's hand can promote my Q to a second defensive trick. Trading the T for a small spade could tip my decision the other way--it's that close IMO, in which case I'd try 3. No way will I open a seven carder with a weak two at these colors.
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wow apparently there's only a .01% chance of that happening (one of each card)

Wow really that much?

 

(52/52)*(48/51)*(44/50)*(40/49)*(36/48)*(32/47)*(28/46)*(24/45)*(20/44)*(16/43)*(12/42)*(8/41)*(4/40) = .00010568

 

I guess so. Surprised it's not smaller!

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