Jump to content

Rebid?


Lobowolf

Recommended Posts

Txx

ATxx

AKTxx

A

 

 

Opponents silent at matchpoints...Anyone have a preferred alternative to a 15-point reverse after 1-1?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Slow roll with 2.

 

If I reverse, my next call will be 3 which guarantees we reach game and also precludes 3NT when partner has moderate clubs. 2 keeps in play

 

* doubling the opponents if they come in

* 3NT

* diamond contract

* spade partial -- and there's no reason to assume that we're making a game yet

 

Someone will surely point out that this is another win for 1m-1M; 2 artificial handing many death hands.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree with Josh. 2 Spade looks like Txx, Axxx,Akxxx,x f.e.

Are you saying that would be a minimum 2 bid? If so, I don't see why adding a singleton ace and two tens makes it into more than a maximum.

Nice point. But as a 2 Spade response normally is around 11-15 HCPS, an Ace difference could be enough to make a stronger bid.

 

And no, A,AK and a stiff are not minimum.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree with Josh. 2 Spade looks like Txx, Axxx,Akxxx,x f.e.

Are you saying that would be a minimum 2 bid? If so, I don't see why adding a singleton ace and two tens makes it into more than a maximum.

For clarification, and I bet you would have guessed this, I would bid 2 with Txx ATxx AQTxx A.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree with Josh. 2 Spade looks like Txx, Axxx,Akxxx,x f.e.

Are you saying that would be a minimum 2 bid? If so, I don't see why adding a singleton ace and two tens makes it into more than a maximum.

For clarification, and I bet you would have guessed this, I would bid 2 with Txx ATxx AQTxx A.

Josh, why is the playing strength of this hand so much less?* Even if partner has a doubleton diamond the difference in value between AKT and AQT is very small since we probably need to attack diamonds anyway if we hope to make 10 tricks.

 

I'd say that on hands where partner is passing a raise to 2, we are less than a 50% favorite to make a game. And if partner has good spades and little else, 2 should be our highest scoring partscore. And if partner has bad spades and a little else, at least we protected our plus. The danger hand for a raise to 2 is something like J8xxx, Kxx, Qxx, Kx which is probably 60-70% to make 4 and 3NT rolls unless diamonds fail to come in (and makes an overtrick in practice if diamonds and hearts play, and they misdefend or spades block). But if I reverse and partner has that hand, the auction is going to end in 4, not 3NT.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Josh, why is the playing strength of this hand so much less?

I didn't say it was "so much less". It's simply where I have a cutoff. Everyone has a cutoff somewhere, which means there will be two hands on either side of it that differ by very little. Since I admit this is the very minimum I would reverse with (generally not with this shape and strength at all), then naturally a hand that's only a little worse would not be a reverse.

 

I'd say that on hands where partner is passing a raise to 2, we are less than a 50% favorite to make a game.

I agree. However I do not thinking missing a game (for example) 40% of the time is very good. Do you?

 

And if partner has good spades and little else, 2 should be our highest scoring partscore.

AKQxx xxx xx xxx is 'good spades and little else' I would say.

And if partner has bad spades and a little else, at least we protected our plus.  The danger hand for a raise to 2 is something like J8xxx, Kxx, Qxx, Kx which is probably 60-70% to make 4 and 3NT rolls unless diamonds fail to come in (and makes an overtrick in practice if diamonds and hearts play, and they misdefend or spades block).  But if I reverse and partner has that hand, the auction is going to end in 4, not 3NT.

I would always admit 2 (edited, I mistakently typed 2 before) can get us too high, just like you would always admit 2 can lead to a missed game. I don't feel the need to enumerate the cases.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd say that on hands where partner is passing a raise to 2, we are less than a 50% favorite to make a game.

I agree. However I do not thinking missing a game (for example) 40% of the time is very good. Do you?

If the alternative is stopping in a making partscore then yes. I'm claiming that if we reverse, we'll almost always reach game, so we should not reverse if it's a favorite to get us a minus score.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...