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Go slamming or not?


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There are two ways to think about this type of problem:

a) Do I have anything more than I shown so far?

B) Are there hands for partner, consistent with the bidding, where it is right for us to move now?

 

Looking at (a): When we rebid 3H we showed about 15+ HCP with a decent 6+ card suit. That's exactly what we have - a 17-count is slightly more than usual, but our heart suit is poor. Partner would raise to 4H on a low doubleton. The QJx of diamonds is nice in partner's suit, but only to the extent of upgrading it to being worth its full 3 points, rather than anything more. In summary, we have roughly a minimum hand for the auction so far, so there is no reason to do any more bidding.

 

B) While we may not know what 4D would have meant over 3H, as partner is a passed hand he can safely bid 3S over 3H, and he could probably also try 4C as a heart cue. So partner is likely to have a minimum 4H bid. Our poor heart suit makes slam very unlikely, as we won't be able to win the lead, draw trump, and run the diamonds, we are likely to have to knock out a heart or a diamond top card, in which case a club lead will beat slam. SO this also points to a pass being correct.

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