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Another lead problem.


OleBerg

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[hv=d=w&v=n&s=sq3hj976dj10763c94]133|100|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

(1) - 1 - (pass) - 3

(-X-) - Pass - (4) - Pass

(6) - Pass - Pass - Pass

 

Sorry if this is too much like Hans hand, but this is how it happened at the table.

 

Your lead?

 

Edit: 2 bid changed to 3

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Even with the edit, the auction makes little sense.. but, before the edit, I was writing that the opps must be wired.

 

I am having trouble with any hand that can jump to 4 and not squeak out 1.

 

And then the 6 call is weird as well, because opener must have the same doubts about what 4 shows.

 

Maybe AKJx void AKQxx KJxx opposite xxxxxx Axx x xxx?

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Even with the edit, the auction makes little sense.. but, before the edit, I was writing that the opps must be wired.

 

I am having trouble with any hand that can jump to 4 and not squeak out 1.

 

And then the 6 call is weird as well, because opener must have the same doubts about what 4 shows.

 

Maybe AKJx void AKQxx KJxx opposite xxxxxx Axx x xxx?

Well, the 4 bidder is a junior, but the 6 bidder is a very competent player.

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I'm gonna lead a heart on grounds that the likely holding for opener is a 4-1-4-4 with a 19-20 hcp, or maybe a 4-2-4-3 if he's an overbidder.

 

He can of course have 5 diamonds but I find that more unlikely than a 4441 or 4432, so I'll try and cash a heart trick which CAN run away on top diamonds.

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I'm gonna lead a heart on grounds that the likely holding for opener is a 4-1-4-4 with a 19-20 hcp, or maybe a 4-2-4-3 if he's an overbidder.

 

He can of course have 5 diamonds but I find that more unlikely than a 4441 or 4432, so I'll try and cash a heart trick which CAN run away on top diamonds.

Lol. 4144 with 19-20 hcp would not be overbidding?

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I'm gonna lead a heart on grounds that the likely holding for opener is a 4-1-4-4 with a 19-20 hcp, or maybe a 4-2-4-3 if he's an overbidder.

 

He can of course have 5 diamonds but I find that more unlikely than a 4441 or 4432, so I'll try and cash a heart trick which CAN run away on top diamonds.

Lol. 4144 with 19-20 hcp would not be overbidding?

No it wouldn't. It would be insane. (You can count it out.)

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I'm gonna lead a heart on grounds that the likely holding for opener is a 4-1-4-4 with a 19-20 hcp, or maybe a 4-2-4-3 if he's an overbidder.

 

He can of course have 5 diamonds but I find that more unlikely than a 4441 or 4432, so I'll try and cash a heart trick which CAN run away on top diamonds.

Lol. 4144 with 19-20 hcp would not be overbidding?

It doesn't matter if it would be overbidding or not. It has been found more likely than 5+ diamonds so there is no argument to be made!

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Full hand:

 

[hv=d=w&v=n&n=s965hakq85d5ck1083&w=sak107hdak9842caq5&e=sj842h10432dqcj762&s=sq3hj976dj10763c94]399|300|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

I'm glad a few posters went with my choice , the club lead.

 

As can be seen, it wasn't a succés. A heart lead and a heart force when in with the K sinks it.

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I'm tempted to double that but maybe I should check with GIB first.

 

Can't you ruff the opening heart lead and play a club to the jack?

 

If north ducks, you cash the diamond queen, go to dummy in trump, ruff a diamond, go to dummy in trump, ruff a diamond and go to dummy in clubs. You give up a club in the end.

 

If north goes up with the club king and plays a heart you ruff the continuation, pull trump and claim.

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I'm tempted to double that but maybe I should check with GIB first.

 

Can't you ruff the opening heart lead and play a club to the jack?

 

If north ducks, you cash the diamond queen, go to dummy in trump, ruff a diamond, go to dummy in trump, ruff a diamond and go to dummy in clubs. You give up a club in the end.

 

If north goes up with the club king and plays a heart you ruff the continuation, pull trump and claim.

I think you are right.

 

Is it the best plan?

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