Jump to content

Over 2N


pclayton

  

21 members have voted

  1. 1. Over 2N

    • Pass
      4
    • 3C; planning on getting out in 3S
      2
    • 3D; gambling on an 8 card fit somewhere
      12
    • Something else
      3


Recommended Posts

Playing 3D as checkback, I bid 3D and play in 4M or 3NT

Not playing artificial methods, I bid 3H natural and forcing and play in 4M or 3NT.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3, this seems like a prototypical "overbid a little to get to the best strain" decision.

 

I don't want to try to make exactly 2NT with the long spades possibly getting stranded.

This is what I tried.

 

Not sure if I was lucky or not. Pard held: Qx, KQJx, AJxx, AJx. Nine tricks was a little over average.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3, this seems like a prototypical "overbid a little to get to the best strain" decision.

 

I don't want to try to make exactly 2NT with the long spades possibly getting stranded.

This is what I tried.

 

Not sure if I was lucky or not. Pard held: Qx, KQJx, AJxx, AJx. Nine tricks was a little over average.

If this was matchpoints I would be tempted to sign off in 3 and try to get a plus. Even if it's a 5-2 fit I think I will do one trick better than NT, winning the board with any number of tricks made.

 

This action pays off to a 4-4 heart fit, though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How often does partner have three spades, four hearts, or neither?

Give me some simple constraints for opener and I will do the simulation. Something like 44 in the minors opens 1D or 1C? Could opener have six diamonds? If so, any restrictions on which hands with 6 diamonds would rebid 2N? 1363 for instance?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How often does partner have three spades, four hearts, or neither?

Give me some simple constraints for opener and I will do the simulation. Something like 44 in the minors opens 1D or 1C? Could opener have six diamonds? If so, any restrictions on which hands with 6 diamonds would rebid 2N? 1363 for instance?

I think Phil should answer those questions based on his own agreements or the style in use.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Here are some results. 100,000 sample size for each.

 

(1) Give opener 4333, 4432, 5332, or 6322 with longest suit diamonds (open 1D with 44 in minors) and 18-19 HCP:

 

opener has 3 spades = 50.9%

opener has 4 hearts = 20.7%

opener has 3 spades or 4 hearts = 64.1%

opener has 3 spades and 4 hearts = 7.5%

 

(2) Same, but allow opener to also be 1444 or 1363:

 

opener has 3 spades = 45.8%

opener has 4 hearts = 26.0%

opener has 3 spades or 4 hearts = 64.9%

opener has 3 spades and 4 hearts = 6.9%

 

(1a) Same as (1), but open 1C with 44 in minors:

opener has 3 spades = 55.0%

opener has 4 hearts = 29.0%

opener has 3 spades or 4 hearts = 73.2%

opener has 3 spades and 4 hearts = 10.8%

 

(2a) Same as (2), but open 1C with 44 in minors (so no 1444):

opener has 3 spades = 52.4%

opener has 4 hearts = 27.5%

opener has 3 spades or 4 hearts = 69.8%

opener has 3 spades and 4 hearts = 10.1%

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How often does partner have three spades, four hearts, or neither?

Give me some simple constraints for opener and I will do the simulation. Something like 44 in the minors opens 1D or 1C? Could opener have six diamonds? If so, any restrictions on which hands with 6 diamonds would rebid 2N? 1363 for instance?

I think Phil should answer those questions based on his own agreements or the style in use.

6 diamonds is possible but unlikely. 4-4 in the minors definitely opens 1.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Phil, I do not play Wolff.

 

Could you please give me an example hand that would have a slam try in the other minor that failed to bid that minor first?

 

Since I don't play it, this treatment strikes me as odd.

The classic hand is 5; 5 and an opening hand (plus). Obviously a hand with 4; 5+ clubs starts with 2.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

When playing transfers you can just bid 3D. Opener should bid 3S with 2-2. 3-2 or 3-3 in the majors. You'll play hearts when opener is 2-3 which is too bad but you'l play hearts when opener is 2-4 which is good.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

When playing transfers you can just bid 3D. Opener should bid 3S with 2-2. 3-2 or 3-3 in the majors. You'll play hearts when opener is 2-3 which is too bad but you'l play hearts when opener is 2-4 which is good.

Even though that would tend to be the thing to do with this shape, my qualm is that with these suits a 4-3 heart fit is probably quite bad, certainly worse than a 5-2 spade fit. Overall not an easy hand.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...