pclayton Posted November 3, 2008 Report Share Posted November 3, 2008 As a compliment to Gerben's, what will be the margin in the popular vote? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PassedOut Posted November 3, 2008 Report Share Posted November 3, 2008 5.0%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hrothgar Posted November 3, 2008 Report Share Posted November 3, 2008 5.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
y66 Posted November 3, 2008 Report Share Posted November 3, 2008 7% +/- 1.5% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted November 3, 2008 Report Share Posted November 3, 2008 Interesting data point:http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/11/cel...-continued.htmlObama led 9.4 among polls that include cell phones, and 5.1 among those that don't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pclayton Posted November 4, 2008 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 What odds would you give a McCain supporter on a major upset tomorrow? I gave 11:1. I've collected the $10, but have to pay out if the impossible happens. The guy is a former actuary, so I'm probably not getting that great a return. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crazy4hoop Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 The debacle of 2000 repeats itself and we won't know for a few days? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Al_U_Card Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 56-43-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
han Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 I'm guessing about 4%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matmat Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 pi + e Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
han Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 You are such a math geek matmat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoAnneM Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 All I know is I cancelled my bridge date for tomorrow evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neilkaz Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 3.8%... he will win big in quite a few states, but not by as much as the usually democratic leaning polls indicate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neilkaz Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 What odds would you give a McCain supporter on a major upset tomorrow? I gave 11:1. I've collected the $10, but have to pay out if the impossible happens. The guy is a former actuary, so I'm probably not getting that great a return. I was offered 10:1 but passed...now had it been 15:1 or better yet 20:1 I'd have taken it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matmat Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 You are such a math geek matmat. sorry. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jchiu Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 I've offered some coworkers either side of 5% plus a half a voter at 1.9 odds. That's where I draw the line. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cherdano Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 I've offered some coworkers either side of 5% plus a half a voter at 1.9 odds. That's where I draw the line. I would take the 5% or better at these odds, and I don't think it's close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dicklont Posted November 4, 2008 Report Share Posted November 4, 2008 All I know is I cancelled my bridge date for tomorrow evening. I wouldn't. We must keep things in perspective, don't we? :P Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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