mike777 Posted September 15, 2008 Report Share Posted September 15, 2008 http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashbo...8U6Yw2h7CFsnwcF 250-250Betting pool 51-49 McCain. The race has really tighten up from just before the conventions.270 needed to win.About 7 weeks left. Right wing Karl Rove has it 227-215 McCain leading for the first time. http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/10/ele....map/index.html 243-189 CNN has Obama with a huge lead. 233-227 Obama per MSNBChttp://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032553/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kenberg Posted September 15, 2008 Report Share Posted September 15, 2008 Back last April or so a friend and I decided that it would come down to Obama versus McCain. I placed a bet on McCain (I usually vote Democratic) and he took Obama (he is a Libertarian). If I actually win this silly bet I may apply for a job as a fortune teller. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted September 15, 2008 Report Share Posted September 15, 2008 BTW WTF is up with the n/a states? Is it some sort of a military secret. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike777 Posted September 15, 2008 Author Report Share Posted September 15, 2008 BTW WTF is up with the n/a states? Is it some sort of a military secret. n/a means not enough polling data to make a decision. Many small states may not be polled since no one is willing to pay for the poll. 200-193 McCain in this one.259-247 Obama if you count leaners. http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_con..._college_update Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rossoneri Posted September 16, 2008 Report Share Posted September 16, 2008 There was this article in Scientific American a few months back about using a "betting" market to predict the results instead of conventional polls. Apparently, the former's more accurate. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike777 Posted September 30, 2008 Author Report Share Posted September 30, 2008 http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashbo...8U6Yw2h7CFsnwcF 278-227 270 needed to win. Huge gain and lead now for Obama with only 5 weeks left. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lobowolf Posted September 30, 2008 Report Share Posted September 30, 2008 IMO a strong market rally (post-bailout (check back Thursday)) makes it a race again; barring that, McCain is on the ropes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pigpenz Posted September 30, 2008 Report Share Posted September 30, 2008 from some polling on swing states on MSNBC is looks like older democrats are having a hard time coming around for Obama.McCain caters to the oldObama to the young Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike777 Posted October 6, 2008 Author Report Share Posted October 6, 2008 http://news.yahoo.com/election/2008/dashboard 330-175 Huge lead for Obama. 264-174 Obama--msnbchttp://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3032553/#map 250-189--CNN....huge lead for Obama http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USViking Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 This is by far the best site I have foundfor tracking the races for national office: http://www.electoral-vote.com/index.html It gives Obama an all but insurmountable lead:343-184 (11 tied). He could lose every state where he is now ahead by 5% or less and still win with 12 electoral votes to spare. Here is the method used to compute the standings: (from link)First of all, only neutral pollsters are used. Pollsters whose primary business is helping Democrats or Republicans get elected are not used. They tend to make their horse look better. When there are multiple polls for a race, the most recent poll is always used. The middle date of the polling period is what counts (not the release date). If other polls have middle polling dates within a week of the most recent one, they are all averaged together. This tends to smooth out variations. In 2004, this algorithm did the best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
han Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 The map looks awfully red to me, perhaps the costitution should be changed so that more weight is given to area. Or to age, the gop is named so for a reason. Anyway, there has to be a way for the republicans to win this election, no matter how many people vote democratic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdonn Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 The map looks awfully red to me, perhaps the costitution should be changed so that more weight is given to area. Or to age, the gop is named so for a reason. That's why Obama is such a good candidate. He is closing the land-area cap with Colorada, Nevada, and New Mexico, and he is closing the age gap with Florida. It's just a good thing they don't show Alaska next to the other states and drawn to scale, that would be too much redness to overcome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gerben42 Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 Heh, I just saw an "electoral map" that let all countries vote based on inhabitants. McCain was ahead in Georgia, Andorra and Sierra Leone for 23 electoral votes. Obama had 8000-something electoral votes. The map looks awfully red to me, perhaps the costitution should be changed so that more weight is given to area. Or to age, the gop is named so for a reason. Anyway, there has to be a way for the republicans to win this election, no matter how many people vote democratic. Are you hoping for the Republicans to win? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gwnn Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 yep Gerben wd, Han always means what the words in his post mean. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luke warm Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 yep Gerben wd, Han always means what the words in his post mean. heheh... han is one of the few posters i've ever seen whose humor is conveyed by the written word... i think it's a talent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdonn Posted October 10, 2008 Report Share Posted October 10, 2008 yep Gerben wd, Han always means what the words in his post mean. heheh... han is one of the few posters i've ever seen whose humor is conveyed by the written word... i think it's a talent That's why I considered the first quote in my signature to be a compliment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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