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Partner makes a forcing pass...


Guest Jlall

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5

 

 

I think pard is 4144.

Pard bid at the 3 level, not the 4 level.

 

I credit the opps with making a good save.

 

For us to make 6 requires just 1 loser (presumably the heart).

He needs a stiff heart and all of:

S: A

D: K Q

C: A Q

 

(and maybe the spade J if they are 4-1 unless it can be finessed.

If pard has less, you can still make 6 if a finesse works.

 

To make 5 means 1 additional loser.

 

For a bid at the 3 level, I assume thats reasonable.

 

I think the opps are going for at least 300, and maybe 500.

5 hearts, and 3 spade ruffs, so lead hearts twice. Then 5H + 2 ruffs.

 

We take at least:

1 Spade, 4 dimes/clubs.

 

650 vs 300 or 500

 

650 is better but can you get it?

 

I think the odds are close enough that its worth bidding, even with this balances hand.

If you make 3/7 vs 500 you are around break even.

Vs 300 you need more.

 

I think 5S can make.

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Does 3 show a full-value raise? I usually use 3 as a high card raise, and 3 as something like a 4153 12-count.

 

Opposite a real raise, I'd have done something different on the round before. Opposite the weaker type, I'd bid 5.

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