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Is This Obvious?


rogerclee

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I think opener has a better chance of making 4 than you do of making anything.

 

Is the question whether to bid 5 as a sacrifice?

 

The spade king is wasted.

Probably LHO has few hearts so a finesse or two may work.

On the other hand any club finesses will not. Its not unlikley to lose 3 club tricks, and a spade trick. Or a spade a dime, and 2 clubs.

 

Bidding 5 is likley down, and on occasion will be doubled.

Maybe at MP its worth bididng becaus eyou expect 4S to make > 50% of the time.

I dont know about IMPs.

If they make 60% of the time, NV, and you are down 1+ 75% of the time NV, sometimes doubled, is it worth bididng?

 

Maybe the expected value is such that its worth bidding, shoing a small plus, hoping you aren't down too much, or that your occasional makes offset you occasional doubled down 2+.

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Double (takeout according to my agreements).

 

I don't think this is obvious. Indeed, I could be persuaded that pass is better.

 

Certainly doubling could land us into trouble. But it is also possible for 4 to be cold and we have a contract, or for 4 to be going a couple down.

If the spade King was moved to one of our other suits, I think double would be completely clear.

 

I don't like 5 at all.

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The 4 on the left was kind of a joke (7-4 in the blacks with two jacks). Partner had the nuts, Qx Kxxx KQxxx Ax.

Quite an effective joke - seven of us have just scored +100 on a hand where we're cold for slam.

 

Did you reach the slam?

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The 4 on the left was kind of a joke (7-4 in the blacks with two jacks). Partner had the nuts, Qx Kxxx KQxxx Ax.

Quite an effective joke - seven of us have just scored +100 on a hand where we're cold for slam.

 

Did you reach the slam?

+50. You get one in each suit.

 

No, partner passed 4x, but we wouldn't have found slam anyway.

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I don't think it's that hard to pass. Obviously bidding 5 is ridiculous, but if you double you won't find it when you belong there anyway. I might double online if I was mad or not being serious though.
The 4 on the left was kind of a joke (7-4 in the blacks with two jacks). Partner had the nuts, Qx Kxxx KQxxx Ax
Quite an effective joke - seven of us have just scored +100 on a hand where we're cold for slam. Did you reach the slam?
+50. You get one in each suit. No, partner passed 4x, but we wouldn't have found slam anyway.
The majority require more than K AQTxxx AJx 8xx for a protective X. Presumably, opposite such a double, some would consider bidding game or slam with Qx Kxxx KQxxx Ax?
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