Jump to content

3N or not?


Guest Jlall

Recommended Posts

Guest Jlall

Kxx AKT9xx Q8xx ---

 

imps w/w partner dealer:

 

1C p 1H p

2C p 2D* p

3D p 3H p

3S p ?

 

2D artificial GF.

 

Do you agree with your previous bidding? What do you bid now?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Agree with the previous bidding.

 

Partner is 2=1=4=6 or 3=0=4=6 without good spades. Something like xx x AJxx AKJ9xx would be typical. 3NT just seems like it'd be too difficult. It's possible partner has instead Qx x AJxx AJxxxx but then I'm really hoping for no wastage in clubs and I still will have a hard time setting up a suit (probably need s 3-3). I think from the sounds of it that our best game is going to be 5, so I'm just going to bid that now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not 3N..... this looks like an instructive hand for those who run to notrump in the face of a misfit... it is rarely the best spot.

 

I am seduced into 4 by possession of the 9.. I would bid 4 with only AK10xxx. I will probably hate this if partner is void.. but even then, I may be able to elope with 10 tricks by ruffing clubs.. although entries may be a problem.

 

And, if he has a stiff, then 4 is probably better than 5.

 

Admittedly, a bid of 4 doesn't bar him from 4 on a stiff...... so I it is possible that I am masterminding here.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

imps w/w partner dealer: Kxx AKT9xx Q8xx ---

1C p 1H p

2C p 2D* p

3D p 3H p

3S p ?

2D artificial GF.

Do you agree with your previous bidding? What do you bid now?

  • Be serious! How can anyone fault Justin's bidding? :)
  • Now I agree 4 = 10, 5 = 7, 4 = 6, 3N = 5.
    4 offers a choice of red suit games.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My initial reaction was to bid 5, but the other comments have persuaded me to bid 4, in case partner bids 4 with a stiff honour.

 

This seems a well controlled auction so far.

Yeah. I'm feeling 4 if interpreted correctly (and why shouldn't it be?) is better. At least I'm with the Or Not? crowd.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Given the lead, diamonds are probably 3-2.

 

The two lines I'd consider are:

 

(1) Cash dummy's top trumps, ace of hearts, heart ruff, spade to hand, heart ruff. That fails when RHO has two hearts and three diamonds. Its chances of success are roughly:

 

Hearts 3=3: 36%

Hearts 2=4: 24%

Hearts 4=2, diamonds 3=2: about 10% ?

 

(2) Take two ruffing finesses in clubs:

 

Clubs 4-3 with at least one honour onside: 3/4 x 62 = 46.5

Clubs 5=2 with at least one honour onside: 2/7 + 5/7 x 2/6 x 30 / 2 ~= 8%

about 8% I think

 

So, playing on hearts seems better.

 

I'm not sure what I'd have done at the table, except that I'm sure it wouldn't have involved the above calculations.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...