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play a bad 3NT


xcurt

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[hv=d=s&v=b&n=sa95hk8763da63c42&s=skt3hj9dqj9cat653]133|200|Scoring: XIMP

Opponents don't bid:

 

1-1

1NT-2*

2NT-3NT

Pass

 

* Not discussed but both hands correctly assumed NMF[/hv]

 

Opposition is known to you and are good players.

 

(1) Assess the blame for reaching this awful contract.

(2) LHO leads the 5

 

5-3-K-9

8-5-Q-2

7-4-K-?

 

Over to you

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Clubs appear to be 2=4. I can't think of anything better than trying to make three heart tricks without losing a trick to East, then squeezing East in the black suits. Unless West has Hx, he'll be able to break this up by playing spades twice.

 

I'll need West to have AQx. Win A and lead J, ducking when West plays the queen. Win the hoped-for diamond continuation and play another heart, setting up three winners. Squeeze East in the black suits.

 

If West switches to spades when he's in with Q, play for split honours.

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Very tough hand. Both of you overbid a little, especially your pard.

 

5 tricks and we are a long way from 9.

 

It looks like the clubs are Q7/KJ98, even though the Q play is strange. Diamonds might be 6-1 although its possible for some reason East felt the need to shift to my suit right away. If diamonds aren't 6-1, it tells me that the heart suit is lying favorably.

 

I think I need the heart suit to cooperate, but I don't want to let RHO in otherwise they will cash 2 hearts, 2 clubs and the diamond.

 

I'm winning the club and floating the J. If it gets covered with the Q I'm winning, playing a diamond to hand and leading another heart. If LHO wins the A, I'll play to keep RHO off lead by leading a heart and ducking the Q. I can't afford to create an entry with RHO holding Txx. If LHO continues diamonds, I win in hand and lead another heart up. If RHO has the QJ or 5 spades, I've got him.

 

If LHO shifts to a low spade, I think I need an original holding of Hx to make this. If LHO shifts to a spade honor, win on the board, hook the spade, heart up, etc..

 

This means that LHO passed with ?? AQx T87532 Q7. Maybe yes, maybe no, but I can't see another choice.

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RHO had Qxxxx, Tx, Kx, KJ98, so gnasher's line works.

 

Capturing the HQ with the K doesn't work, since LHO can duck the next heart allowing RHO in to cash clubs.

 

I didn't see this at the table and just ducked the second club reflexively. I didn't want to open 1C but I figured that partner would expect me to open this hand, so I did it, hoping to survive.

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[hv=d=s&v=b&n=sa95hk8763da63c42&s=skt3hj9dqj9cat653]133|200|Scoring: XIMP

1-1

1NT-2*

2NT-3NT

AP

* Not discussed but both hands correctly assumed NMF

Opposition is known to you and are good players.

 

(1) Assess the blame for reaching this awful contract.

(2) LHO leads the 5

5-3-K-9

8-5-Q-2

7-4-K-?[/hv]

IMO North should pass 2N.

 

Gnasher's line is cunning but depends on LHO holding AQx(x), 2, and a honour. The play by expert opponents is incomprehensible and xcurt did a better job of sussing it out than I would have. My guess was: win A, eliminate and exit in hoping to endplay RHO holding an original KJx

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My guess was: win A, eliminate and exit in hoping to endplay RHO holding an original KJx
How many tricks would that give you?

:) Nine :D ... Duh ... :) Eight :(

:) It is wicked to mock the afflicted :)

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