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6 or 7 ?  

29 members have voted

  1. 1. 6 or 7 ?

    • 6NT
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    • 7NT
      26


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Where does 58% come from?

 

If you bid a grand slam and it makes, you gain 500, or 11 IMPs.  If you bid a grand slam and go down one, you lose 1040, or 14 IMPs.  Your break-even point is 14/(11 + 14), or 56%.

The 58% comes from my bad memory :)

 

I guess it is because I use it as a guideline, to make up for all the smaal quirks a contract often have. Things like, not being able to handle a 6-0 break.

 

Incidently, the suit-combination I thought I saw, a nine card fit with AKJT, is the "worst" allowable combination, you can have in a critical suit, when you bid a grand. (The suit is 57.91% likely to come in.)

 

To my knowledge at least, maybe Im wrong again. :)

 

Best Regard

 

Ole Berg

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