jahol Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 IMPs, both vulnerable, aggresive opponents, you haveQx---KQx---xxx---Jxxxx and the bidding (Standard American, 2/1 is 10+) was LHO----P----RHO----YOU..................1S........P2H.......P......3D.......P4S.......P......4NT......P5H.......P......6S........PP.........P 5H = 2 key values from five for spades, without trumph queen. What is your first lead? (There is NO NEED to think that this is a kind of special problem. I am just interested in your (statistically best) lead at the table). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Apollo81 Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 I'd lead ♥K, lacking any other stellar options. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Jlall Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 Agree with HK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gnasher Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 ♥K is necessary only if RHO has ♥xx, dummy has some potential club winners to throw hearts on, and partner has a club trick. To me it seems more likely that HK will make declarer's life easy for him, perhaps saving him a guess, either about which suit to play on or about how to play the heart suit. I lead a club. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdonn Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 ♥K is necessary only if RHO has ♥xx, dummy has some potential club winners to throw hearts on, and partner has a club trick. To me it seems more likely that HK will make declarer's life easy for him, perhaps saving him a guess, either about which suit to play on or about how to play the heart suit. I lead a club. Or we are going to score a trump trick? Or (gasp!) partner has the ace of hearts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Jlall Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 You sometimes will score your SQ andy! It doesn't seem too unlikely that a heart goes away on the clubs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeh Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 Ask rho what the 5♥ response means (preferably by asking... does it say anything about the trump Queen?), then lead the heart King. That way, you can be sure of two things: 1. You will score your spade Q unless the opps have a 10 card fit (or better) 2. You will be banned shortly thereafter :rolleyes: Seriously, my sense is that the heart K is far more likely to work than any other lead. We need less for the heart K to work than for any other lead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gnasher Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 I don't understand. Why does the fact that we may have a trump trick argue for a heart lead? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdonn Posted March 31, 2008 Report Share Posted March 31, 2008 I don't understand. Why does the fact that we may have a trump trick argue for a heart lead? Because 1+1=2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
matmat Posted April 1, 2008 Report Share Posted April 1, 2008 I don't understand. Why does the fact that we may have a trump trick argue for a heart lead? Because 1+1=2 that's the fancy new math, josh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andy_h Posted April 1, 2008 Report Share Posted April 1, 2008 Would the HK suggest a bit more that we have the SQ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yogeshdg Posted April 1, 2008 Report Share Posted April 1, 2008 Would the HK suggest a bit more that we have the SQ? Andy why should the ♥king suggest the ♠queen? Mate think thats overdoing the thinking a bit.If you are wanting to know how to finesse correctly in the trump suit for the Queen drawing inference from ♥k isnt going to help. I might lead ♥K even without the queen ♠ on a different day. Are you happy to play me for the queen of ♠ now?:unsure: My lead is ♣ not k♥. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gnasher Posted April 1, 2008 Report Share Posted April 1, 2008 I don't understand. Why does the fact that we may have a trump trick argue for a heart lead? Because 1+1=2 Thanks for that contribution to the discussion. You obviously put a great deal of thought into it. If leading a heart will get us a heart trick and a trump trick, under what circumstances will not leading a heart mean that we don't get a heart trick and a trump trick? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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