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Lead Problem


MickyB

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[hv=d=s&v=n&s=sj873hat762d862c9]133|100|Scoring: IMP

1-P-2-X

4-AP

 

Your lead.[/hv]

 

Edit: For anyone who knows the hand, yes, I have got the minors the wrong way round - I'll leave it like that now.

Edited by MickyB
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I'm leading my stiff.

 

It seems the simplest way to take four tricks is to find pard with an entry, and either take 2 hearts (yes the hand is probably always getting beat in this case) another trick and a ruff, or 2 tricks in pard's hand and two ruffs.

 

A tap could be right, but it seems to me that its likely they are on a 6-3 or a 5-4 fit. Furthermore, leading the A could very well blow a trick. A low heart could be right as well, but thats pretty deep.

 

What about a diamond? This could also be right, but pard needs a very specific diamond holding for me to have to lead it on the go.

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Any suit could be right, goodness knows.

NO-one has mentioned a trump yet, but we have a surprisingn umber of high cards for the auction and a trump could easily be the winning lead. I'm nearly persuading myself of this, though I doubt I'd manage it at the table.

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Any suit could be right, goodness knows.

NO-one has mentioned a trump yet, but we have a surprisingn umber of high cards for the auction and a trump could easily be the winning lead. I'm nearly persuading myself of this, though I doubt I'd manage it at the table.

Given that partner is likely to have entries, leading the stiff club might force declarer to draw trumps himself...

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I agree with the stiff...anyone consider bidding 5? I doubt that I would (too much risk of a phantom) but it isn't hard to construct a hand on which 5 makes... void KQxx AQJxx xxxx might even make a slam :)
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I agree with the stiff...anyone consider bidding 5? I doubt that I would (too much risk of a phantom) but it isn't hard to construct a hand on which 5 makes... void KQxx AQJxx xxxx might even make a slam :)

I'd be too worried about a phantom

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