Jump to content

The frying pan or the fire?


  

55 members have voted

  1. 1. The frying pan or the fire?

    • Pass
      4
    • 2 spades
      51
    • Other
      0


Recommended Posts

Why would i want to pull ? partner got a 2nt opening with 53 in the Majors.If they make it then its -180 so what.

And if they make overtrick(s) its a bit more. 2S for me, pd's double is takeout anyway and why should she have a 2NT opening?

Is this hand the partner of the strong 4-4 S&D hand?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1Nx is clearly favourite to make overtricks. The question is whether we can escape for less in 1Nx or 2Sx.

 

My first impression is to always pull because 2 could make, might not get doubled, opps might bid on and generally it forces the opponents to take their points rather than handing it to them on a plate.

 

But the more I think about it, the less sure I am.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I held this hand and passed. Declarer was +380 I think (Bill's close). Best defense in 2 x'd looks like -500, and -300 is a cinch. I'm not convinced of the plurality, quite frankly. Consider this:

 

1. I expect pard to hold at least an 18 count or more, mostly due to the fact the opponents have subsided in 1N.

 

2. If LHO has a trump stack (he held KQJx), it's bad news all around. We are getting nailed in 2 and there's a strong double or triple stopper for our source of tricks. Do you think it's easier to take 7 tricks on defense or 8 tricks on offense? The worse of a position we are in, the better pass looks. If we take 6, 5, 4, or 3 tricks on defense, the score is -180, -280, -380, -480. Say we can take one more additional trick with spades trump, so we would be taking 7, 6, 5 or 4 tricks on offense. The spread is now -100, -300, -500, -800.

 

3. If LHO has a stopper, but a marginal trump stack, our chances on defense are a lot better, but in fairness, we are less likely to get doubled in 2 as well, but 1N will not be making very often either.

 

If we are vulnerable, I think this is a real easy pass. If we are white on red, it's an easy pull.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How can it be take-out if so on what suits ? Opps rate to have a 7 card fit in H so prtner cant be short in H nor does he want to play in H. So either hes got D maybe even C (wich he can bid 2C & 2D) but he doesnt have both minors for sure. So hes got a big balanced hand. I would never X with only 18-19.

 

Those who think its impossible to have 20-22 and make an overcall would you X and bid 2S with

 

AKQJx

Axx

QXX

KQ ?

 

After

 

(1X)----P-----(1Y)------???

 

its not balancing and expect partner to be broke when you have 18 +

So why would you want to X 1Nt with 18-19 pts ?

Why would you want to X and bid a new suit with 20-22 pts and a balanced hand ?

 

Im not saying i expect to get rich by defending 1Nt just that why be sure to get a minus when you might get a +. If they make an overtrick then partner made a mistake not you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If LHO has a trump stack (he held KQJx), it's bad news all around.

It is funny, this is actually one of the holdings that worried me a lot, but I discarded it as unlikely :).

 

Let's say I pull to 2S. LHO has to make a 2-level penalty double with his trumps in front of the strong hand while his partner has promised nothing more than an 11-count with 3 hearts. Sure, he might hit this, but I'd say it's sort of unlikely.

 

Now it comes back to RHO, and while I bet he has extras, he can't really double for penalty without any trumps and partner having promised little more than Kxx. He has to either pass or take us off the hook by bidding. He might even not have extras, in which case he has an obvious pass.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Let's say I pull to 2S. LHO has to make a 2-level penalty double with his trumps in front of the strong hand while his partner has promised nothing more than an 11-count with 3 hearts. Sure, he might hit this, but I'd say it's sort of unlikely.

If you don't double with a max 1N and KQJx of spades, you'll never dbl 2 in this sequence.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I also think KQJx is very unlikely. I think partner will often have something like a 17-count with a good spade suit, AQ10xxx is certainly possible. In that case I expect 2S to survive reasonably well and 1NT to make easily.

 

So I would pull for sure.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...