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Lead Problem


grrigg

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A non heart lead is way too deep for me. I hope partner can win the ace and play a spade through the king. Even if we can start ace of spades spade ruff, we still need a third trick, and if that trick is the ace of hearts (seems very likely for a trick that our weak 2 bidding partner would have) a heart lead would have been fine anyways. Leading a spade is aiming at a very narrow target of having 3 tricks without the ace of hearts and one of them going away if we fail to lead a spade.
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A non heart lead is way too deep for me. I hope partner can win the ace and play a spade through the king. Even if we can start ace of spades spade ruff, we still need a third trick, and if that trick is the ace of hearts (seems very likely for a trick that our weak 2 bidding partner would have) a heart lead would have been fine anyways. Leading a spade is aiming at a very narrow target of having 3 tricks without the ace of hearts and one of them going away if we fail to lead a spade.

I may well have led the A, but this post persuaded me that the heart is better.

On a bad day the 3rd trick that gets away after the heart lead is partner's spade ruff, but in every other case the heart lead should work at least as well.

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