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How To Win


kfay

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Added information.

 

Partner's preempts are quite often suspect. Sitting at the table you feel the odds are in favor of the opponents' making 6X.

Just because they may make 6?, does

not mean they will bid it over 5D.

But if they bid it, I guess we are talking

about 6H, they will also bid it over 6D.

 

With kind regards

Marlowe

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I also bid 6 at the table but was a little disconcerted at how comfortable I felt doing it. I felt like that opponents would also be quite comfortable and manage fine. They did.

 

I don't quite remember the hand but the long and short of it is that LHO held:

 

[hv=s=sxhaqj10987654dack]133|100|[/hv]

 

and made an overtrick when partner led a and dummy hit with Kx and the A.

 

Push board.

 

In hindsight I wish I'd bid 7, LHO bids 7 and now I double for a lead (we have that agreement). Maybe this is an isolated incident but I've seen about 4 or 5 hands like this and to my recollection preempting at the 7-level was the winning action.

 

At the very least I wish I'd bid 5 (SJS) to get a 1-imp gain.

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The problem with 7 is that you the opponents usually are boxed into doubling and you are probably going for 800. If game is the limit on the hand, you've already lost 8 or so. If you are saccing over a slam, then you are only gaining 4.

 

On a really, really bad day, the opponents are taking the push to 6 which you are beating with the spade ruff. You just turned a huge plus position (+50) into a huge minus.

 

I think it's pretty weird that LHO had a TEN bagger, don't you?

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I dont like 7D at all, you have too much of a chance to beat 6H to even want to save over it imo. Even if you cant go spade spade ruff you have a shot of another trick materializing. Not to mention that 6D will usually get doubled, so 7D will just give up another 300 a lot of the time.
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Well, discounting the freak hand that our LHO pulled on us in the actual original, as an abstract problem I think I would try to buy it in 5 first. I might compete to 6 if opps bid 5M or I might not, depending on my mood, how confidently they bid over me, etc. And yes, I'm fully aware I'm giving them more room to exchange information than a direct 6. But I think the chance of buying it in the cheaper 5x is worth the risk.
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Well, discounting the freak hand that our LHO pulled on us in the actual original, as an abstract problem I think I would try to buy it in 5 first. I might compete to 6 if opps bid 5M or I might not, depending on my mood, how confidently they bid over me, etc. And yes, I'm fully aware I'm giving them more room to exchange information than a direct 6. But I think the chance of buying it in the cheaper 5x is worth the risk.

Can't you say this about just about preempt? Hey, lets just try to buy it a level lower and we'll save a few points, "just in case" they decide to sell out or double us cheaper.

 

Unless you are playing with sheep that are scared of their own shadow, you need to make their life difficult and jam them to the highest extent possible.

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Well, discounting the freak hand that our LHO pulled on us in the actual original, as an abstract problem I think I would try to buy it in 5 first. I might compete to 6 if opps bid 5M or I might not, depending on my mood, how confidently they bid over me, etc. And yes, I'm fully aware I'm giving them more room to exchange information than a direct 6. But I think the chance of buying it in the cheaper 5x is worth the risk.

Can't you say this about just about preempt? Hey, lets just try to buy it a level lower and we'll save a few points, "just in case" they decide to sell out or double us cheaper.

 

Unless you are playing with sheep that are scared of their own shadow, you need to make their life difficult and jam them to the highest extent possible.

The difference is they are always very likely to double you at the 5 level, people often don't like to bid 5 over 5. So I sort of agree in principle, though I'm not sure what I would bid on the actual hand.

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About 7: Generally speaking I really prefer bids that can win in 2 ways, either it was actually right or the opponents pull and end up too high. A bid like 7 has only one way to win and most likely they need a making slam in order for it to be right. Thats a pretty narrow target.
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