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As simple as it gets


hrothgar

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i will have to hear some very persuasive logic to convince me not to lead a small club with this hand on this auction.

If the 1N opener is RHO, then leading a may cost a trick. You want =partner= to lead 's =through= RHO and into you hand if RHO is the 1N opener.

 

Natural lead from the given hand is the DJ from JT9x

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i will have to hear some very persuasive logic to convince me not to lead a small club with this hand on this auction.

If the 1N opener is RHO, then leading a may cost a trick. You want =partner= to lead 's =through= RHO and into you hand if RHO is the 1N opener.

 

Natural lead from the given hand is the DJ from JT9x

cough... At matchpoints I would have a lot of sympathy for a diamond lead. At imps, never. Lead a club, and hope partner can get in and has two or more clubs. A club gives us a reasonable chance to set up four winners in that suit. AT imps I am not trying to keep from blowing an overtrick, I am trying to gain enough tricks to set the contract.

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Ya at imps a club is just our best shot to beat the hand via 5 clubs or 4 clubs+ partners entry. At MP I would go with the DJ

I think the is best, but I'm curious about the at MPs. Not only does it seem less lucrative but I'd be worried we aren't getting any field protection on the opening lead.

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There's a good reason that 4th highest of longest & strongest is so popular - it's likely to be the best way of beating the contract.

Bridge by parable? I dare say that if the contract was 4S rather than 3N, no one would be leading a from AQxxx on this auction; and we all know why.

"4th down from your longest and strongest" does not come close to describing the actual complexity of choosing an opening lead.

 

Underleading A's and AQ's can cost vs NT contracts as well as vs suit contracts.

 

The opening lead is definitely the hardest play in Bridge to get right, and clearly one can construct boards where what we need to do here is lead a Major! However, the issue is what is not what is going to work, but rather what is most likely to work.

 

I don't =know= what is most likely to work, and neither does anyone else who is honest about it. I think a or a is most likely to.

And I don't think it is as clear cut as simply tallying the responses might given the impression of.

 

Another situation where it would be interesting for a good simulation to be done.

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And I don't think it is as clear cut as simply tallying the responses might given the impression of.

The responses are based on experience, which from all the respondants I would bet totals over a million hands of bridge. For such a simple problem (common auction, unexceptional hand) that's as accurate as you can get.

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Another situation where it would be interesting for a good simulation to be done.

 

I did a simulation yesterday and clubs was the best lead (diamonds was second best, but it was not close).

What sort of simulation did you do?

 

How many hands?

 

Single Dummy or Double Dummy?

 

Any more details ...

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There's a good reason that 4th highest of longest & strongest is so popular - it's likely to be the best way of beating the contract.

Bridge by parable? I dare say that if the contract was 4S rather than 3N, no one would be leading a from AQxxx on this auction; and we all know why.

"4th down from your longest and strongest" does not come close to describing the actual complexity of choosing an opening lead.

Thank you for that very helpful remark about leading against 4S.

 

Actually, whilst all such bridge 'rules' should be broken sometimes, '4th highest from your longest and strongest' is one of the best around against blind auctions to 3NT.

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