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Is this a 4S over 4H?


cnszsun

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Just because pard didn't double a vul 4 opening when he rates to be short in hearts doesn't mean he is broke. And we don't have to make 4 to come out ahead on this auction.

 

I bid 4 now.

 

Of course, I would not have passed in first seat. But that is not the issue.

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Of course, I would not have passed in first seat.  But that is not the issue.

Actually, it is an issue. If you had opened, you could now pass without a qualm.

Who took my qualm?

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I like 4 now, high risk high reward but I think it rates to work out. Also I don't mind passing to begin with since usually you can overcall spades at a low level next round, but if I must open then I much prefer 2 to 1. I am not so much into 5 card weak two bids as I used to be, I think it often makes it too hard for partner to judge where to play when it's our hand.
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I open this hand 2 which I feel actually preempts decently. But I don't mind a 1 opening either, but certainly dislike the initial pass.

 

At these colors after passing initially I have a slight preference to bid 4, but would pass at any other colors.

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Clear 2S opening. Bidding 4S is bad. At Mp hoping for -500 or -300 is a good gamble but at imps its a dubious tactics. Do you really think a double swing game is possible ?

 

Chance for making a phantom sac are more likely then finding a super cheap save. Here are possible result.

 

they make game

 

we are -4 = -5 ***

we are -3 = +3 ***

we are -2 = +8 or (+11) **

we are -1 = +11 *

 

 

they dont make game.

 

we are -3 = -12 *

we are -2 = -9 (-5) **

we are -1 = -5 (-4) ***

 

()= they dont X us.

 

Its possible we are down 2 and they dont X us. But its also possible that they go down more then 1 (vulnerable undertricks) or that they bid 5H anyway and make it. Also it wouldnt suprised me that S break really badly and we go down 5. Or that they dont make game and we are -4.

 

 

*** = more frequent

** = less frequent

* = rare

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