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Opening?


pclayton

Your plan?  

34 members have voted

  1. 1. Your plan?

    • 1H and 2H after F1N
      7
    • 1H and 3H after F1N
      20
    • 1H and 2C after F1N
      0
    • 1N Opening
      2
    • Other
      5


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1 followed by 2. This is a 6-loser hand by modified losing trick count, which is not good enough for a 3 rebid (shows a 5-loser hand). If partner bids again, you can drive to game.
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How does modified loser count distinguish between AJx and Axx? Does it distinguish between Jx and xx? If you can't distinguish, do you think it is right not to take any notice of these jacks? If it can distinguish then I don't get how you get to 7 losers.
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I tried the 1 - 2 route. The heart suit is great, but I don't think the hand is much better than Axx AKQTxx xx xx. LHO decided to pre-balance over 2 with 2.

 

Pard competed to 3 with: Txx xx KJ8xx Axx, which I thought was a little strange. I bid 3N, and its a good spot on a non-club lead and a fair spot on a club lead. Somehow the opps let this one in.

 

At the other table, teammates let in 4. I have no idea how, since every pointed suit honor was off.

 

For me it is a tweener between 2 and 3. Give me a singleton and its 3 for me. 2N would not occur to me - that shows 17+ - 19. Does this hand really evaluate to that? I think not.

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Minimal opening hands do not have 7 top tricks. I agree Jx is not much better than xx, but I think AJx is clearly a better holding than Axx.

 

This hand has plusses and minusses. By ignoring the plusses and focussing on the minusses you don't get a fair evaluation.

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How does modified loser count distinguish between AJx and Axx? Does it distinguish between Jx and xx? If you can't distinguish, do you think it is right not to take any notice of these jacks? If it can distinguish then I don't get how you get to 7 losers.

The way I learned it, a working jack as in AJx is -1/4 loser. Jx is not adjusted for. I don't remember (if I ever knew) the exact criteria.

 

Of course, LTC is not a complete surrogate for judgement, if you think that Jx is better than xx in context, adjust the LTC by -1/8 or whatever.

 

This hand is 5.5 or 5.25 LT (depending on whether you take J into account) but I'm not sure if LTC is appropriate for this decision.

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2N would not occur to me - that shows 17+ - 19. Does this hand really evaluate to that? I think not.

Compare the trrick taking potential of this hand with that of your average balanced 3532 18-count, which is higher?

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How does modified loser count distinguish between AJx and Axx? Does it distinguish between Jx and xx? If you can't distinguish, do you think it is right not to take any notice of these jacks? If it can distinguish then I don't get how you get to 7 losers.

First, I said the hand is a six loser hand, not a 7 loser hand. Saying that the hand is a 6 loser hand is not the same thing as saying that the hand has 7 winners. MLTC is just a method of hand evaluation.

 

Second, MLTC does not distinguish between AJx and Axx, nor does it distinguish between Jx and xx. That is where judgment comes into play. I don't find that the added jacks make this hand worth a 3 call or a 2NT call.

 

This hand is, in my opinion, a maximum 2 rebid. It is always nice to have a little in reserve. And I know that my partners are not shy.

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If you are calling Axx, AKQTxxx, xx, xx, a maximum 2H rebid, do the 2 black jacks tip the scale for you. They don't for me.

 

K and R (that is notorious for upgrading long strong suits) calls the actual hand a 17.95. Without the black jacks (primarily the JS) its 17.2. FWIW, K and R calls xxx AKQTxx xx xx as a 13.0, so go figure.

 

My judgment says this isn't a 17 point hand. My 3 rebids in a non-fit auction tend to be a little stronger too. I've been playing an 8-12 and 9-13 weak 2 lately, so this may have an influence too.

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I have to admit I thought this was posted as a problem between 3, 2NT, or weird stuff like 2 or 2. 2 didn't even enter my head.

 

I like 2NT, get toward our most likely game, and steal a lot of games that "shouldn't" be made.

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2N would not occur to me - that shows 17+ - 19. Does this hand really evaluate to that? I think not.

Compare the trrick taking potential of this hand with that of your average balanced 3532 18-count, which is higher?

I think we are a favorite to take 7 tricks on this hand. Whether or not the opponents can take 5 or 6 tricks first is the issue.

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In trying to get more info on the sign scandal from one multi WC we gave him this hand.

 

To paraphrase:

 

He rebid 3H...second choice was 3nt saying 2nt put partner in a poor position, partner may pass when 3nt makes on running suits and may get doubled when suits do not run. :)

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I'd open 1 and rebid 3. 2NT is out since it's a conventional GF in my methods. Besides I don't think a natural 2NT is right with both minors wide open. We'd get to too many 3NT losing the first 5-7 tricks.

 

If partner rebid 3NT over 3 I'm a tad more confident that we'll make. I'm sure we've got enough tricks after either route, but the latter seems to be better regarding opps possiblility to set us before we gain the lead.

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