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= or -1? Your descission


Codo

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[hv=d=w&v=n&e=sq32ht8532da6ct32&s=sat7h7dqt97ck9764]266|200|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

The bidding starting with your lho:

1 pass 2 all pass.

 

The opps play swiss acol and 11-14 NT, so declarer may well have just 4 hearts, but in that case he is not 11-14 or not balanced.

 

Pd surprises you with the lead of the Ace of Club.

 

1. Partner: Ace, 2, 4,8

2.Partner: 5, 3, K, Q

3. You 9 J (H)4 CT

4. Partner: K 2 7 8

5. Partner 5 3 A 9

 

Okay you have the first five tricks. YOu now see:

[hv=d=w&v=n&e=sq32ht8532da6ct32&s=sat7h7dqt97ck9764]266|200|Scoring: IMP[/hv]

 

Which suit do you play now for the best prospect to gain the setting trick?

 

Your normal leads are 1.3.5. if this helps your descission.

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so the question is. do i think p has the diamond king or whether p has one of heart K or heart Qx left

 

p is trying to cash out, it seems, which leads me to believe he has a heart honor and not the diamond. with a diamond he'd either exit passively or play the suit himself.

 

i play another club.

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Yes, partner's spade play seems to be telling us he wants a trump promotion.

Also, partner played the K-5 of spades from either K654 or K54. On the first of these the 4 on the second round would be normal (current count) so it looks as if declarer started with J986 (and was worried about a spade ruff, which is why he concealed the 6). Therefore the diamond loser is going on the fourth spade anyway.

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Yes, partner's spade play seems to be telling us he wants a trump promotion.

Also, partner played the K-5 of spades from either K654 or K54. On the first of these the 4 on the second round would be normal (current count) so it looks as if declarer started with J986 (and was worried about a spade ruff, which is why he concealed the 6). Therefore the diamond loser is going on the fourth spade anyway.

That means LHO has J986 AKJx KJ QJx, give or take the J - a 15-17NT, consistent with his bidding.

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